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8 | 8 | - [Tuning by Seb](#tuning-by-seb) |
9 | 9 | - [Tuning by Yousheng](#tuning-by-yousheng) |
10 | 10 | - [Step 5: Dynamic spin-up with tuned parameters](#step-5-dynamic-spin-up-with-tuned-parameters) |
| 11 | + - [Spin-up timeseries](#spin-up-timeseries) |
11 | 12 |
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12 | 13 | ## Overview |
13 | 14 |
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@@ -328,6 +329,23 @@ The equilibrium TRIFFID runs (`xqjcg`–`xqjcl`) use an accelerated equilibrium |
328 | 329 | | xqjlb | xqjch | 0.361 | Dynamic TRIFFID, 200 yr | 0.811 | |
329 | 330 | | xqjlc | xqjcj | 0.314 | Dynamic TRIFFID, 200 yr | 0.856 | |
330 | 331 |
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| 332 | +#### Spin-up timeseries |
| 333 | + |
| 334 | +The figure below shows the temporal evolution of key diagnostics during the 200-year dynamic TRIFFID spin-ups for xqjlb (red dashed) and xqjlc (blue solid), both starting from the preindustrial spin-up `xqhuc`. |
| 335 | + |
| 336 | + |
| 337 | + |
| 338 | +- **tas (a)**: Both runs oscillate around ~287.4–288.0 K with no significant drift. xqjlb runs slightly warmer. Temperature is reasonably stable by ~1950 onward. |
| 339 | +- **Trees Total (b)**: Steady decline from ~0.33 to ~0.22–0.24 over the full period. The decline slows but has not fully levelled off, indicating the dynamic vegetation has not fully equilibrated. |
| 340 | +- **CVeg (c)**: Drops sharply from ~700 PgC to ~400–500 PgC, mirroring the tree fraction loss. xqjlb retains slightly higher CVeg. The decline slows but does not fully stabilise. |
| 341 | +- **CSoil (d)**: Declines from ~1200 PgC to ~1050–1100 PgC (xqjlc lower). Still drifting slightly downward at the end. |
| 342 | +- **Land Carbon (e)**: Declines from ~2000 to ~1400–1500 PgC/yr, tracking CVeg and CSoil losses. Both runs overlap closely. |
| 343 | +- **GPP (f)**: Fluctuates around 105–115 PgC/yr with high interannual variability but no clear trend — appears stable. |
| 344 | +- **NEP (g)**: Large negative excursions early on (−15 to −20 PgC/yr), indicating the land is a net carbon source as vegetation adjusts. By ~1950 it oscillates around zero, suggesting the carbon cycle is approaching balance. |
| 345 | +- **fgco2 (h)**: Ocean CO2 flux ranges from −3.5 to −4.5 PgC/yr, both runs tracking closely with no drift. |
| 346 | + |
| 347 | +The two spin-ups behave very similarly. The main concern is the ongoing decline in trees, CVeg, and CSoil — the dynamic vegetation and soil carbon pools have not fully equilibrated after 200 years, though GPP, NEP, and ocean flux are stable. This is a common feature of HadCM3B-ES spin-ups with TRIFFID dynamic vegetation. |
| 348 | + |
331 | 349 | Key findings from the dynamic spin-up experiments: |
332 | 350 |
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333 | 351 | 1. **CVeg increases under dynamic spin-up**: both experiments show ~60–70 PgC higher CVeg than their equilibrium counterparts (507 vs 444 for xqjlb/xqjch; 517 vs 446 for xqjlc/xqjcj). This shifts CVeg from slightly below target into the target range (450–550 PgC). |
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