-
Notifications
You must be signed in to change notification settings - Fork 22
Creating ensemble submission
Nicholas G Reich edited this page Nov 5, 2018
·
10 revisions
Steps for creating and submitting a real-time ensemble forecast. This set of steps needs to be performed every Monday evening after 5pm (or whenever the last models get pushed) and before 11:59pm.
- Make sure you are on the
master
branch of thecdc-flusight-ensemble
repository. - Pull all recent commits.
- Check to see if all component models have current forecasts. If not, the ensemble will still build, but send email to nudge contributors.
- Run the
make-real-time-ensemble-forecast-file.R
script. This should generate a set of all ensemble forecast files, including one that is saved inmodel-forecasts/submissions/target-based-weights
, and a multi-page PDF file with plots in themodel-forecasts/submissions/target-based-weights/plots/
folder. - Look at the plots to make sure nothing looks terribly out of alignment.
- Commit the plots file and all new ensemble files to your local git repository.
- Push all files to the master branch. Include the words "deploy" in the commit message so that Travis CI rebuilds the visualization.
- Email the submission file to the CDC.
- Tweet out new forecasts!