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Merge pull request #285374 from ssalgadodev/patch-149
Update concept-automl-forecasting-evaluation.md
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articles/machine-learning/concept-automl-forecasting-evaluation.md

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ms.subservice: automl
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ms.topic: conceptual
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ms.custom: automl, sdkv2
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ms.date: 08/01/2023
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ms.date: 08/21/2024
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show_latex: true
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---
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Here, known values of the target and features are provided for 2023-05-01 through 2023-05-03. Missing target values starting at 2023-05-04 indicate that the inference period starts at that date.
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AutoML uses the new context data to update lag and other lookback features, and also to update models like ARIMA that keep an internal state. This operation _does not_ update or re-fit model parameters.
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AutoML uses the new context data to update lag and other lookback features, and also to update models like ARIMA that keep an internal state. This operation _doesn't_ update or re-fit model parameters.
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## Model evaluation
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Evaluation is the process of generating predictions on a test set held-out from the training data and computing metrics from these predictions that guide model deployment decisions. Accordingly, there's an inference mode specifically suited for model evaluation - a rolling forecast. We review it in the following sub-section.
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Evaluation is the process of generating predictions on a test set held-out from the training data and computing metrics from these predictions that guide model deployment decisions. Accordingly, there's an inference mode suited for model evaluation - a rolling forecast. We review it in the following subsection.
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### Rolling forecast
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