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Stephanie Owen
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protected species and 05 csvi text edits
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child_docs/02_commercial_profits_midatlantic.Rmd

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This year, we present new indicators of [profitability](https://noaa-edab.github.io/catalog/comdat_profit.html): indices of cost, revenue, and profit based on trips catching federally-managed species. In this index, costs pertain to trip costs, excluding labor, estimated for all federal trips in the region. The profit indicator is net-revenue, determined as the difference between trip revenue and trip costs. Trips were spatially allocated to compile regional indices. Indices are presented as values relative to 2000, the first year in the dataset. In the Mid-Atlantic, costs have fluctuated, but overall remain near the time series mean, despite some high costs in 2022, 2014 and 2008. Revenue, however, has declined steadily since 2019 and is driving an overall decline in profits (Fig. \ref{fig:comdat-profit}).
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For Mid-Atlantic ports, [total vulnerability](https://noaa-edab.github.io/catalog/community_climate_vulnerability.html) of revenue is high for the entire time series [(2000-2024)](#community-social-and-climate-vulnerability), with no long-term trend. This suggests that Mid-Atlantic port commercial fishing revenue is highly reliant on climate-sensitive species for the entire time period assessed (Fig. \ref{fig:climatevul-rev}).
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For Mid-Atlantic ports, [total vulnerability](https://noaa-edab.github.io/catalog/community_climate_vulnerability.html) of revenue is high for the entire time series [(2000-2024)](#social-and-community-risks), with no long-term trend. This suggests that Mid-Atlantic port commercial fishing revenue is highly reliant on climate-sensitive species for the entire time period assessed (Fig. \ref{fig:climatevul-rev}).
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```{r climatevul-rev, fig.width=6.5, fig.asp=0.5, fig.cap=return_caption(chunk_name = "climatevul-rev", region = "MidAtlantic")}
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return_plot("climatevul-rev", region = "MidAtlantic")

child_docs/02_commercial_profits_newengland.Rmd

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In the GOM, the profit index closely follows the same trends as the revenue index with the exception of 2010 - 2013 where low costs created a surge in the profit index. In 2024, the GOM profit index returned to near the long-term average with average costs and revenue. For trips in GB, high costs and low revenue had caused a low profits over the last 3 years, but recent drops in costs have helped compensate for low revenue. GB profits have no long-term trend, but a cyclical revenue driven by rotational scallop management can impact profitability.
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For New England ports, [total vulnerability](https://noaa-edab.github.io/catalog/community_climate_vulnerability.html) of revenue was moderate in [2024](#community-social-and-climate-vulnerability) with no long-term trend (Fig. \ref{fig:climatevul-rev-ne}). This suggests that while New England commercial fishing is moderately reliant on climate-sensitive species, this proportion has not significantly changed since 2000.
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For New England ports, [total vulnerability](https://noaa-edab.github.io/catalog/community_climate_vulnerability.html) of revenue was moderate in [2024](#social-and-community-risks) with no long-term trend (Fig. \ref{fig:climatevul-rev-ne}). This suggests that while New England commercial fishing is moderately reliant on climate-sensitive species, this proportion has not significantly changed since 2000.
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```{r, climatevul-rev-ne, fig.cap = return_caption(chunk_name = "climatevul-rev", region = "NewEngland"), fig.width=6.5, fig.asp=0.5}
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return_plot("climatevul-rev", region = "NewEngland")

child_docs/05_csvi_midatlantic.Rmd

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### Indicators: Port Commercial Fishing Activity and Community Social Vulnerability
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Six of the top 2024 communities experienced declines of 15-35% in the Port Commercial Fishing Activity Indicator compared to their average scores from 2007-2011: Point Pleasant Beach, NJ; Ocean City, MD; Bronx, NY; Barnegat Light, NJ; Newport News, VA; Cape May, NJ. Of particular concern, Atlantic City, NJ and Newport News, VA both rank medium or higher for all three socio-demographic CSVIs, suggesting that fishing industry participants associated with this municipality may be more vulnerable to change. The other four top communities showed positive growth since 2007-2011; most notably Hampton Bays/Shinnecock, NY with an increase of 84%. Currently North Carolina communities are not presented due to data limitations.
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Six of the top ten 2024 communities are below in the [Port Commercial Fishing Activity Indicator (PCFA)](https://noaa-edab.github.io/catalog/engagement.html?q=engage#introduction-to-indicator-72) compared to their average scores from 2007-2011: Point Pleasant Beach, NJ; Ocean City, MD; Bronx, NY; Barnegat Light, NJ; Newport News, VA; Cape May, NJ. Of particular concern, Atlantic City, NJ and Newport News, VA both rank medium or higher for all three socio-demographic CSVIs, suggesting that fishing industry participants associated with this municipality may be more vulnerable to change. The other four top communities show higher port activity since 2007-2011; most notably Hampton Bays/Shinnecock, NY with an increase of 84%. Currently North Carolina communities are not presented due to data limitations.
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```{r commercial-engagement, fig.cap= return_caption(chunk_name = "commercial-engagement", region = "MidAtlantic"), fig.width = 6.5, fig.asp = 0.85}
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return_plot("commercial-engagement", region = "MidAtlantic")
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### Indicators: Community Environmental Variability Risk in the Mid-Atlantic
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[Community Environmental Variability Risk Indicators](https://noaa-edab.github.io/catalog/community_climate_vulnerability.html) (CEVRI) measure risk by linking commercial landings and revenue to specific climate sensitivity factors, including temperature, ocean acidification, and stock status using the Climate Vulnerability Assessment (CVA) scores. These indicators calculate total sensitivity and vulnerability scores based on a community's dependence on species vulnerable to climate change. Risk scores range from low (1) to high (4), increasing as a community relies more heavily on species at higher risk from environmental shifts.While long-term risk trends across the Mid-Atlantic remain stable, most individual fishing communities currently rank as high or very high risk. This high ranking demonstrates that a majority of regional communities depend on species that are highly vulnerable to changing ocean conditions for their commercial revenue. Strategies for management should account for this widespread reliance on climate-sensitive stocks.
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[Community Environmental Variability Risk Indicators](https://noaa-edab.github.io/catalog/community_climate_vulnerability.html) (CEVRI) measure risk by linking commercial landings and revenue to specific climate sensitivity factors, including temperature, ocean acidification, and stock status using the Climate Vulnerability Assessment (CVA) scores. These indicators calculate total sensitivity and vulnerability scores based on a community's dependence on species vulnerable to climate change. Risk scores range from low (1) to high (4), increasing as a community relies more heavily on species at higher risk from environmental shifts.
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While long-term risk trends across the Mid-Atlantic remain stable, most individual fishing communities currently rank as high or very high risk. This high ranking demonstrates that a majority of regional communities depend on species that are highly vulnerable to changing ocean conditions for their commercial revenue. Strategies for management should account for this widespread reliance on climate-sensitive stocks.
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```{r commvulex, fig.width = 6.5, fig.asp=.5, fig.cap=return_caption(chunk_name = "commvulex", region = "MidAtlantic")}
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return_plot("commvulex", region = "MidAtlantic")

child_docs/05_csvi_newengland.Rmd

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### Indicators: Port Commercial Fishing Activity and Community Social Vulnerability
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The Port Commercial Fishing Activity Indicator (PCFA) highlights significant shifts in industry engagement across major regional ports. New Bedford and Boston, MA, have experienced fishing activity declines of over 20% compared to their 2007–2011 averages. Portland, ME, and Gloucester, MA, show even sharper downturns, with activity dropping 39% and 45%, respectively. Because New Bedford and Boston also rank medium-high for socio-demographic vulnerability, industry participants in these municipalities face a higher risk from these changing conditions.Conversely, several communities show substantial growth in fishing activity. Chatham, MA, along with Stonington and Harpswell, ME, are seeing positive trends. Friendship, ME, stands out with a 95% increase in its PCFA score over the same period.
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```{r commercial-engagement-ne, fig.cap= return_caption(chunk_name = "commercial-engagement", region = "NewEngland"), fig.width = 7, fig.asp = 0.5}
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return_plot("commercial-engagement", region = "NewEngland")
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```
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The [Port Commercial Fishing Activity Indicator (PCFA)](https://noaa-edab.github.io/catalog/engagement.html?q=engage#introduction-to-indicator-72) highlights significant shifts in industry engagement across major regional ports. New Bedford, Gloucester, and Boston, MA and Portland, ME, have lower fishing activity compared to their 2007–2011 averages. Because New Bedford and Boston also rank medium-high for socio-demographic vulnerability, industry participants in these municipalities face a higher risk from these changing conditions. Conversely, several communities show substantial growth in fishing activity. Chatham, MA, along with Stonington, Friendship, Harpswell, ME, are seeing increased port activity since 2007-2011.
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```{r comm-vuln}
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comm_vul_table |>
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flextable::fit_to_width(7.5)
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```
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Of the top-ranked recreational communities, only Provincetown, MA and Falmouth, MA had medium or higher ranks for more than one socio-demographic indicator (Table \ref{tab:recvultab}) examined here (poverty, personal disruption, population composition). This suggests that future changes to recreational fishing conditions may disproportionately impact Provincetown and Falmouth.
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Of the top 10 most active recreational communities, only Seabrook, NH had medium or higher ranks for at least one socio-demographic indicator (Table \ref{tab:recvultab}) examined here (poverty, personal disruption, population composition). This suggests that future changes to recreational fishing conditions may disproportionately impact Seabrook.
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\newpage
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```{r recreational-engagement-ne, fig.cap= return_caption(chunk_name = "recreational-engagement", region = "NewEngland"), fig.width = 6.5, fig.asp = 0.7}

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