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Micha
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Simplify scenarios (#84)
* start by making Mix the default scenario * make script more robust * - change syntax of national co2_budget - define a default national_co2_budget - allow empty scenario, which falls back to the defaults specified in pypsa.de.yaml * simplify scenario definitions, fallback to defaults more often * change prefix * ariadne_template is data not resources * fix rounding error * disable interactive mode in final plotting script * decouple ariadne DB pre-workflow from scenario management * fix key error * error if co2 budget for country other than DE specified * [pre-commit.ci] auto fixes from pre-commit.com hooks for more information, see https://pre-commit.ci * improve wording --------- Co-authored-by: pre-commit-ci[bot] <66853113+pre-commit-ci[bot]@users.noreply.github.com>
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‎CHANGELOG.md‎

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@@ -1,4 +1,5 @@
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# Changelog
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- Simplified scenarion definition and made `Mix` the default scenario
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- 0.3: workflow is all public now, no longer requires credentials to internal data
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- Allowing myopic optimization until 2050
45
- CHP plants located in onshore regions without district heating are represented as EOP plants

‎Snakefile‎

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@@ -266,13 +266,13 @@ rule retrieve_egon_data:
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rule retrieve_ariadne_database:
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params:
269-
db_name=config_provider("iiasa_database", "db_name"),
270-
leitmodelle=config_provider("iiasa_database", "leitmodelle"),
271-
scenarios=config_provider("iiasa_database", "scenarios"),
269+
db_name=config["iiasa_database"]["db_name"],
270+
leitmodelle=config["iiasa_database"]["leitmodelle"],
271+
scenarios=config["iiasa_database"]["scenarios"],
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output:
273-
data=resources("ariadne_database.csv"),
273+
data="resources/ariadne_database.csv",
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log:
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"logs/pypsa-de/retrieve_ariadne_database.log",
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"logs/retrieve_ariadne_database.log",
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resources:
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mem_mb=1000,
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script:
@@ -315,7 +315,7 @@ rule build_mobility_demand:
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planning_horizons=config_provider("scenario", "planning_horizons"),
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leitmodelle=config_provider("iiasa_database", "leitmodelle"),
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input:
318-
ariadne=resources("ariadne_database.csv"),
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ariadne="resources/ariadne_database.csv",
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clustered_pop_layout=resources("pop_layout_base_s_{clusters}.csv"),
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output:
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mobility_demand=resources(
@@ -453,7 +453,7 @@ rule modify_existing_heating:
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iiasa_reference_scenario=config_provider("iiasa_database", "reference_scenario"),
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leitmodelle=config_provider("iiasa_database", "leitmodelle"),
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input:
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ariadne=resources("ariadne_database.csv"),
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ariadne="resources/ariadne_database.csv",
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existing_heating="data/existing_infrastructure/existing_heating_raw.csv",
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output:
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existing_heating=resources("existing_heating.csv"),
@@ -501,7 +501,7 @@ rule modify_industry_demand:
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params:
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reference_scenario=config_provider("iiasa_database", "reference_scenario"),
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input:
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ariadne=resources("ariadne_database.csv"),
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ariadne="resources/ariadne_database.csv",
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industrial_production_per_country_tomorrow=resources(
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"industrial_production_per_country_tomorrow_{planning_horizons}.csv"
507507
),
@@ -570,7 +570,7 @@ rule download_ariadne_template:
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keep_local=True,
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),
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output:
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resources("template_ariadne_database.xlsx"),
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"data/template_ariadne_database.xlsx",
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run:
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move(input[0], output[0])
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@@ -589,7 +589,7 @@ rule export_ariadne_variables:
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NEP_year=config_provider("costs", "NEP"),
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NEP_transmission=config_provider("costs", "transmission"),
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input:
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template=resources("template_ariadne_database.xlsx"),
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template="data/template_ariadne_database.xlsx",
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industry_demands=expand(
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resources(
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"industrial_energy_demand_base_s_{clusters}_{planning_horizons}.csv"
@@ -639,7 +639,7 @@ rule plot_ariadne_variables:
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reference_scenario=config_provider("iiasa_database", "reference_scenario"),
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input:
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exported_variables_full=RESULTS + "ariadne/exported_variables_full.xlsx",
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ariadne_database=resources("ariadne_database.csv"),
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ariadne_database="resources/ariadne_database.csv",
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output:
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primary_energy=RESULTS + "ariadne/primary_energy.png",
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primary_energy_detailed=RESULTS + "ariadne/primary_energy_detailed.png",
@@ -703,10 +703,10 @@ rule ariadne_all:
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rule build_scenarios:
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params:
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scenarios=config_provider("run", "name"),
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leitmodelle=config_provider("iiasa_database", "leitmodelle"),
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scenarios=config["run"]["name"],
707+
leitmodelle=config["iiasa_database"]["leitmodelle"],
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input:
709-
ariadne_database=resources("ariadne_database.csv"),
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ariadne_database="resources/ariadne_database.csv",
710710
scenario_yaml=config["run"]["scenarios"]["manual_file"],
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output:
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scenario_yaml=config["run"]["scenarios"]["file"],

‎config/config.de.yaml‎

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@@ -4,7 +4,7 @@
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# docs in https://pypsa-eur.readthedocs.io/en/latest/configuration.html#run
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run:
7-
prefix: 20250425_public_db
7+
prefix: 20250507_simple_scenarios
88
name:
99
# - ExPol
1010
- KN2045_Mix
@@ -269,6 +269,9 @@ first_technology_occurrence:
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270270
costs:
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horizon: "mean" # "optimist", "pessimist" or "mean"
272+
NEP: 2023
273+
transmission: "overhead" # either overhead line ("overhead") or underground cable ("underground")
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273276
# docs in https://pypsa-eur.readthedocs.io/en/latest/configuration.html#sector
274277
sector:
@@ -342,6 +345,9 @@ sector:
342345
# docs in https://pypsa-eur.readthedocs.io/en/latest/configuration.html#industry
343346
industry:
344347
ammonia: false
348+
steam_biomass_fraction: 0.4
349+
steam_hydrogen_fraction: 0.3
350+
steam_electricity_fraction: 0.3
345351
St_primary_fraction:
346352
2020: 0.6
347353
2025: 0.55
@@ -428,6 +434,16 @@ solving:
428434
H2 pipeline retrofitted: 0.05
429435
fractional_last_unit_size: true
430436
constraints:
437+
# The default CO2 budget uses the KSG targets, and the non CO2 emissions from the REMIND model in the KN2045_Mix scenario
438+
co2_budget_national:
439+
DE:
440+
2020: 0.671
441+
2025: 0.523
442+
2030: 0.346
443+
2035: 0.216
444+
2040: 0.09
445+
2045: -0.05
446+
2050: -0.048
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efuel_export_ban: false
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limits_capacity_max:
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Generator:
@@ -511,6 +527,10 @@ solving:
511527
# EEG2023; Ziel for 2024: 88 GW and for 2026: 128 GW,
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# assuming at least 1/3 of difference reached in 2025
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2025: 101
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Link:
531+
H2 Electrolysis:
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DE:
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2030: 5
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# For reference, this are the values specified in the laws
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# limits_capacity_min:
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# Generator:

‎config/scenarios.manual.yaml‎

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@@ -23,8 +23,6 @@ ExPol:
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2050: 0.419
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costs:
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horizon: "mean"
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NEP: 2023
2826
transmission: "underground" # either overhead line ("overhead") or underground cable ("underground")
2927
solving:
3028
constraints:
@@ -56,10 +54,6 @@ ExPol:
5654
DE:
5755
2030: 215 # uba Projektionsbericht
5856

59-
industry:
60-
steam_biomass_fraction: 0.4
61-
steam_hydrogen_fraction: 0.3
62-
steam_electricity_fraction: 0.3
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sector:
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district_heating:
@@ -72,32 +66,13 @@ ExPol:
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KN2045_Mix:
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# Default scenario, defined in pypsa.de.yaml
7570
# Ausgewogener Mix an Technologien zur Dekarbonisierung der Sektoren
7671
# Breites Energieträgerportfolio in der Endenergie (Strom, Wasserstoff, synthetische Kraftstoffe)
7772
# Ausbau der erneuerbare Stromerzeugung erreicht politisch gesetzte Ziele
7873
# Importe erneuerbar erzeugter Energien auf mittlerem Niveau
7974
# dient als Referenzszenario in der Familie der Ariadne-Szenarien
8075

81-
iiasa_database:
82-
reference_scenario: KN2045_Mix
83-
co2_budget_DE_source: KSG
84-
85-
costs:
86-
horizon: "mean"
87-
NEP: 2023
88-
transmission: "overhead" # either overhead line ("overhead") or underground cable ("underground")
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solving:
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constraints:
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limits_capacity_min:
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Link:
93-
H2 Electrolysis:
94-
DE:
95-
2030: 5
96-
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industry:
98-
steam_biomass_fraction: 0.4
99-
steam_hydrogen_fraction: 0.3
100-
steam_electricity_fraction: 0.3
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10277
KN2045_Elek:
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# Fokus auf dem Hochlauf von Technologien zur direkten Elektrifizierung der Sektoren
@@ -107,12 +82,7 @@ KN2045_Elek:
10782

10883
iiasa_database:
10984
reference_scenario: KN2045_Elek
110-
co2_budget_DE_source: KSG
11185

112-
costs:
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horizon: "mean"
114-
NEP: 2023
115-
transmission: "overhead" # either overhead line ("overhead") or underground cable ("underground")
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solving:
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constraints:
11888
limits_volume_max:
@@ -153,11 +123,6 @@ KN2045_Elek:
153123
2040: 170
154124
2045: 250
155125
2050: 250
156-
limits_capacity_min:
157-
Link:
158-
H2 Electrolysis:
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DE:
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2030: 5
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industry:
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steam_biomass_fraction: 0.4
@@ -172,12 +137,7 @@ KN2045_H2:
172137

173138
iiasa_database:
174139
reference_scenario: KN2045_H2
175-
co2_budget_DE_source: KSG
176140

177-
costs:
178-
horizon: "mean"
179-
NEP: 2023
180-
transmission: "overhead" # either overhead line ("overhead") or underground cable ("underground")
181141
solving:
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constraints:
183143
limits_volume_max:
@@ -231,11 +191,6 @@ KN2045_H2:
231191
2040: 0
232192
2045: 200
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2050: 200
234-
limits_capacity_min:
235-
Link:
236-
H2 Electrolysis:
237-
DE:
238-
2030: 5
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240195
industry:
241196
steam_biomass_fraction: 0.4
@@ -250,35 +205,7 @@ KN2045_NFniedrig:
250205
# dient als Referenzszenario in der Familie der Ariadne-Szenarien
251206

252207
iiasa_database:
253-
reference_scenario: KN2045plus_LowDemand
254-
co2_budget_DE_source: KSG
255-
256-
costs:
257-
horizon: "mean"
258-
NEP: 2023
259-
transmission: "overhead" # either overhead line ("overhead") or underground cable ("underground")
260-
solving:
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constraints:
262-
# boundary condition of maximum volumes
263-
limits_volume_max:
264-
h2_import:
265-
DE:
266-
2020: 0
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2025: 5
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2030: 15
269-
2035: 115
270-
2040: 220
271-
2045: 325
272-
2050: 325
273-
limits_capacity_min:
274-
Link:
275-
H2 Electrolysis:
276-
DE:
277-
2030: 5
278-
industry:
279-
steam_biomass_fraction: 0.4
280-
steam_hydrogen_fraction: 0.3
281-
steam_electricity_fraction: 0.3
208+
reference_scenario: KN2045_NFniedrig
282209

283210
sector:
284211
reduce_space_heat_exogenously_factor:
@@ -298,35 +225,7 @@ KN2045_NFhoch:
298225
# dient als Referenzszenario in der Familie der Ariadne-Szenarien
299226

300227
iiasa_database:
301-
reference_scenario: KN2045minus_SupplyFocus
302-
co2_budget_DE_source: KSG
303-
304-
costs:
305-
horizon: "mean"
306-
NEP: 2023
307-
transmission: "overhead" # either overhead line ("overhead") or underground cable ("underground")
308-
solving:
309-
constraints:
310-
# boundary condition of maximum volumes
311-
limits_volume_max:
312-
h2_import:
313-
DE:
314-
2020: 0
315-
2025: 5
316-
2030: 15
317-
2035: 115
318-
2040: 220
319-
2045: 325
320-
2050: 325
321-
limits_capacity_min:
322-
Link:
323-
H2 Electrolysis:
324-
DE:
325-
2030: 5
326-
industry:
327-
steam_biomass_fraction: 0.4
328-
steam_hydrogen_fraction: 0.3
329-
steam_electricity_fraction: 0.3
228+
reference_scenario: KN2045_NFhoch
330229

331230
sector:
332231
reduce_space_heat_exogenously_factor:

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