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1 | 1 | # Modeling with Stochasticity
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2 | 2 |
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3 |
| -All models with `ODESystem` are deterministic. `SDESystem` adds another element |
4 |
| -to the model: randomness. This is a |
| 3 | +All previous differential equations tutorials deal with deterministic `ODESystem`s. |
| 4 | +In this tutorial, we add randomness. |
| 5 | +In particular, we show how to represent a |
5 | 6 | [stochastic differential equation](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stochastic_differential_equation)
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6 |
| -which has a deterministic (drift) component and a stochastic (diffusion) |
7 |
| -component. Let's take the Lorenz equation from the first tutorial and extend |
8 |
| -it to have multiplicative noise by creating `@brownian` variables in the equations. |
| 7 | +as a `SDESystem`. |
| 8 | + |
| 9 | +!!! note |
| 10 | + |
| 11 | + The high level `@mtkmodel` macro used in the |
| 12 | + [getting started tutorial](@ref getting_started) |
| 13 | + is not yet compatible with `SDESystem`. |
| 14 | + We thus have to use a lower level interface to define stochastic differential equations. |
| 15 | + For an introduction to this interface, read the |
| 16 | + [programmatically generating ODESystems tutorial](@ref programmatically). |
| 17 | + |
| 18 | +Let's take the Lorenz equation and add noise to each of the states. |
| 19 | +To show the flexibility of ModelingToolkit, |
| 20 | +we do not use homogeneous noise, with constant variance, |
| 21 | +but instead use heterogeneous noise, |
| 22 | +where the magnitude of the noise scales with (0.1 times) the magnitude of each of the states: |
| 23 | + |
| 24 | +```math |
| 25 | +\begin{aligned} |
| 26 | +dx &= (\sigma (y-x))dt &+ 0.1xdB \\ |
| 27 | +dy &= (x(\rho-z) - y)dt &+ 0.1ydB \\ |
| 28 | +dz &= (xy - \beta z)dt &+ 0.1zdB \\ |
| 29 | +\end{aligned} |
| 30 | +``` |
| 31 | + |
| 32 | +Where $B$, is standard Brownian motion, also called the |
| 33 | +[Wiener process](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wiener_process). |
| 34 | +In ModelingToolkit this can be done by `@brownian` variables. |
9 | 35 |
|
10 | 36 | ```@example SDE
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11 | 37 | using ModelingToolkit, StochasticDiffEq
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12 | 38 | using ModelingToolkit: t_nounits as t, D_nounits as D
|
| 39 | +using Plots |
13 | 40 |
|
14 |
| -# Define some variables |
15 |
| -@parameters σ ρ β |
16 |
| -@variables x(t) y(t) z(t) |
17 |
| -@brownian a |
18 |
| -eqs = [D(x) ~ σ * (y - x) + 0.1a * x, |
19 |
| - D(y) ~ x * (ρ - z) - y + 0.1a * y, |
20 |
| - D(z) ~ x * y - β * z + 0.1a * z] |
| 41 | +@parameters σ=10.0 ρ=2.33 β=26.0 |
| 42 | +@variables x(t)=5.0 y(t)=5.0 z(t)=1.0 |
| 43 | +@brownian B |
| 44 | +eqs = [D(x) ~ σ * (y - x) + 0.1B * x, |
| 45 | + D(y) ~ x * (ρ - z) - y + 0.1B * y, |
| 46 | + D(z) ~ x * y - β * z + 0.1B * z] |
21 | 47 |
|
22 | 48 | @mtkbuild de = System(eqs, t)
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| 49 | +``` |
| 50 | + |
| 51 | +Even though we did not explicitly use `SDESystem`, ModelingToolkit can still infer this from the equations. |
23 | 52 |
|
24 |
| -u0map = [ |
25 |
| - x => 1.0, |
26 |
| - y => 0.0, |
27 |
| - z => 0.0 |
28 |
| -] |
| 53 | +```@example SDE |
| 54 | +typeof(de) |
| 55 | +``` |
29 | 56 |
|
30 |
| -parammap = [ |
31 |
| - σ => 10.0, |
32 |
| - β => 26.0, |
33 |
| - ρ => 2.33 |
34 |
| -] |
| 57 | +We continue by solving and plotting the SDE. |
35 | 58 |
|
36 |
| -prob = SDEProblem(de, u0map, (0.0, 100.0), parammap) |
| 59 | +```@example SDE |
| 60 | +prob = SDEProblem(de, [], (0.0, 100.0), []) |
37 | 61 | sol = solve(prob, LambaEulerHeun())
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| 62 | +plot(sol, idxs = [(1, 2, 3)]) |
| 63 | +``` |
| 64 | + |
| 65 | +The noise present in all 3 equations is correlated, as can be seen on the below figure. |
| 66 | +If you want uncorrelated noise for each equation, |
| 67 | +multiple `@brownian` variables have to be declared. |
| 68 | + |
| 69 | +```@example SDE |
| 70 | +@brownian Bx By Bz |
| 71 | +``` |
| 72 | + |
| 73 | +The figure also shows the multiplicative nature of the noise. |
| 74 | +Because states `x` and `y` generally take on larger values, |
| 75 | +the noise also takes on a more pronounced effect on these states compared to the state `z`. |
| 76 | + |
| 77 | +```@example SDE |
| 78 | +plot(sol) |
38 | 79 | ```
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