blog post on uk immigration perspectives

Author: Teinc3

markdowns/blogs/question_on_uk_immigration.md

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+## The Question on UK Immigration 
+*Last updated: 22/04/2026*
+*Genre: Life Planning*
+
+I arrived in England in September of 2024 to start my Engineering degree at Oxford,
+a mere 2 months after the landslide Labour victory in the latest General Election.
+Even as I entered the UK with a BNO Visa, it's not difficult to say that I'm myself part of the
+collateral damage from the disasterous Boriswave immigration that started during the pandemic.
+
+Of course, with us being in such a precarious situation it's great news hearing assurances
+from all major parties in the country supporting the visa scheme pioneered by the Conservatives.
+Labour reaffirmed its support of 5+1 even as Shabana Mahmood increased the duration of
+stay for other visa categories to 10 years (a rather sensible policy in my opinion).
+While Reform UK's position regarding abolishing ILR is not entirely consistent,
+Nigel Farage did agree with an excemption for Hong Kongers and Ukrainians, which is promising,
+as Reform UK has enjoyed the highest amount of support out of all parties from opinion polling.
+Obviously, Liberal Democrats maintain one of the most supportive policies towards HongKongers
+in their manifesto, but unfortunately they are not likely to enter governance any time soon.
+
+Unfortunately, it doesn't seem like the situation will be 100% secure stepping into the future,
+and plans have definitely have to be made to address the unforseeable political transformation.
+
+While Shabana Mahmood's immigration reforms were sensible and deny most of the Boriswave immigrants immediate right to settle indefinitely in the country, 
+the question of whether or not it will stay until 2029 we still cannot answer.
+Keir Starmer and his "centrist" Blue labour political faction could risk a political coup
+from the more leftist factions of the party, especially in light of recent Epstein scandals,
+which will almost certainly guarantee a full reversal of the 10+1 reforms laid out previously.
+And with these immigrants fully naturalised, imagine the sort of narrative that will end up
+on the mainstream right - denaturalisation and remigration of every Boriswave immigrant.
+Why will and should the far right think about exceptions? Fear and anger trumps rationality.
+They'll just include everyone in the roster, the productive ones included.
+
+A similar Green party victory in 2029 or earlier would yield the same effect,
+but effectively turning the country into lawlessness and ruins from capital flight.
+Expect a 2030s election with a vengeful far-right denaturalising everyone from the 20s,
+but I'd most likely be long pushed away from the insane tax rates levied on us by then.
+
+And the situation on the right of the spectrum is not particularly better either.
+We've seen news of Reform UK standing literal foreigners in the local council elections.
+And what is it going to do? Cause disillusionment with the rest of the right wing voter base.
+We've already seen Restore Britain polling better compared to when Reform UK launched its party.
+It's entirely possible that a Restore Britain government in 2029 screws equally with everyone.
+
+It's true that I prefer to retain in England, at least until the 30s. The weather is great, 
+and London will still retain a competitive edge for opportunities and networking
+(reference my other [/blogs/welcome_singapore](article) for my rationale behind this).
+I would expect any sort of big company I'm working under to redeploy me to other countries
+(provided that I am lucky to receive an offer to work at Palantir or other big tech - 
+it's definitely possible and expected to discuss relocation to the US, Poland, or even to Asia).
+Unfortunately it just doesn't seem like the situation in the future provides enough stability
+to give me an incentive to stay and build a life here.
+
+My personal hopes are for a Blue labour government until 2029 (when I am eligible for ILR)
+with a Conservative/Reform government afterwards (or the latter happening in a snap election),
+but at this point, who knows what will happen by then, we'll just have to wait and see.