diff --git a/pulsar-broker/src/main/java/org/apache/pulsar/broker/service/persistent/PersistentTopic.java b/pulsar-broker/src/main/java/org/apache/pulsar/broker/service/persistent/PersistentTopic.java
index 2f0255f4f2aae..306d1d72b650e 100644
--- a/pulsar-broker/src/main/java/org/apache/pulsar/broker/service/persistent/PersistentTopic.java
+++ b/pulsar-broker/src/main/java/org/apache/pulsar/broker/service/persistent/PersistentTopic.java
@@ -187,6 +187,7 @@
 import org.apache.pulsar.common.protocol.schema.SchemaData;
 import org.apache.pulsar.common.protocol.schema.SchemaVersion;
 import org.apache.pulsar.common.schema.SchemaType;
+import org.apache.pulsar.common.stats.Rate;
 import org.apache.pulsar.common.topics.TopicCompactionStrategy;
 import org.apache.pulsar.common.util.Codec;
 import org.apache.pulsar.common.util.FutureUtil;
@@ -294,6 +295,8 @@ protected TopicStatsHelper initialValue() {
     @Getter
     private final PersistentTopicMetrics persistentTopicMetrics = new PersistentTopicMetrics();
 
+    private final Rate exceedTTLDelayedMessage = new Rate();
+
     private volatile PersistentTopicAttributes persistentTopicAttributes = null;
     private static final AtomicReferenceFieldUpdater<PersistentTopic, PersistentTopicAttributes>
             PERSISTENT_TOPIC_ATTRIBUTES_FIELD_UPDATER = AtomicReferenceFieldUpdater.newUpdater(
@@ -2752,6 +2755,7 @@ public void updateRates(NamespaceStats nsStats, NamespaceBundleStats bundleStats
         this.addEntryLatencyStatsUsec.refresh();
         NamespaceStats.add(this.addEntryLatencyStatsUsec.getBuckets(), nsStats.addLatencyBucket);
         this.addEntryLatencyStatsUsec.reset();
+        this.exceedTTLDelayedMessage.calculateRate();
     }
 
     public double getLastUpdatedAvgPublishRateInMsg() {
@@ -2825,6 +2829,7 @@ public CompletableFuture<? extends TopicStatsImpl> asyncGetStats(GetStatsOptions
         stats.ongoingTxnCount = txnBuffer.getOngoingTxnCount();
         stats.abortedTxnCount = txnBuffer.getAbortedTxnCount();
         stats.committedTxnCount = txnBuffer.getCommittedTxnCount();
+        stats.exceedTTLDelayedMessages = getExceedTTLDelayedMessages();
 
         replicators.forEach((cluster, replicator) -> {
             ReplicatorStatsImpl replicatorStats = replicator.computeStats();
@@ -4787,13 +4792,22 @@ public Optional<TopicName> getShadowSourceTopic() {
     protected boolean isExceedMaximumDeliveryDelay(ByteBuf headersAndPayload) {
         if (isDelayedDeliveryEnabled()) {
             long maxDeliveryDelayInMs = getDelayedDeliveryMaxDelayInMillis();
-            if (maxDeliveryDelayInMs > 0) {
-                headersAndPayload.markReaderIndex();
-                MessageMetadata msgMetadata = Commands.parseMessageMetadata(headersAndPayload);
-                headersAndPayload.resetReaderIndex();
-                return msgMetadata.hasDeliverAtTime()
-                        && msgMetadata.getDeliverAtTime() - msgMetadata.getPublishTime() > maxDeliveryDelayInMs;
+            Integer messageTTLInSeconds = topicPolicies.getMessageTTLInSeconds().get();
+            if (maxDeliveryDelayInMs <= 0 && (messageTTLInSeconds == null || messageTTLInSeconds <= 0)) {
+                return false;
+            }
+            headersAndPayload.markReaderIndex();
+            MessageMetadata msgMetadata = Commands.parseMessageMetadata(headersAndPayload);
+            headersAndPayload.resetReaderIndex();
+            if (!msgMetadata.hasDeliverAtTime()) {
+                return false;
+            }
+            long deliverAtTime = msgMetadata.getDeliverAtTime();
+            // count exceed ttl delayed messages
+            if (deliverAtTime >= (messageTTLInSeconds * 1000L) + System.currentTimeMillis()) {
+                this.incrementExceedTTLDelayedMessages();
             }
+            return deliverAtTime - msgMetadata.getPublishTime() > maxDeliveryDelayInMs;
         }
         return false;
     }
@@ -4867,4 +4881,12 @@ public void readEntryFailed(ManagedLedgerException exception, Object ctx) {
 
         return future;
     }
+
+    public void incrementExceedTTLDelayedMessages() {
+        this.exceedTTLDelayedMessage.recordEvent();
+    }
+
+    public long getExceedTTLDelayedMessages() {
+        return this.exceedTTLDelayedMessage.getTotalCount();
+    }
 }
diff --git a/pulsar-common/src/main/java/org/apache/pulsar/common/policies/data/stats/TopicStatsImpl.java b/pulsar-common/src/main/java/org/apache/pulsar/common/policies/data/stats/TopicStatsImpl.java
index 523ec5ac87d97..b39638df249b8 100644
--- a/pulsar-common/src/main/java/org/apache/pulsar/common/policies/data/stats/TopicStatsImpl.java
+++ b/pulsar-common/src/main/java/org/apache/pulsar/common/policies/data/stats/TopicStatsImpl.java
@@ -186,6 +186,9 @@ public class TopicStatsImpl implements TopicStats {
     /** The last publish timestamp in epoch milliseconds. */
     public long lastPublishTimeStamp;
 
+    /** The number of delay messages that exceed TTL delay. */
+    public long exceedTTLDelayedMessages;
+
     public List<? extends PublisherStats> getPublishers() {
         return Stream.concat(publishers.stream().sorted(
                                 Comparator.comparing(PublisherStatsImpl::getProducerName, nullsLast(naturalOrder()))),
@@ -264,6 +267,7 @@ public void reset() {
         this.oldestBacklogMessageSubscriptionName = null;
         this.topicCreationTimeStamp = 0;
         this.lastPublishTimeStamp = 0;
+        this.exceedTTLDelayedMessages = 0;
     }
 
     // if the stats are added for the 1st time, we will need to make a copy of these stats and add it to the current
@@ -295,6 +299,7 @@ public TopicStatsImpl add(TopicStats ts) {
         this.committedTxnCount = stats.committedTxnCount;
         this.backlogQuotaLimitTime = stats.backlogQuotaLimitTime;
         this.backlogQuotaLimitSize = stats.backlogQuotaLimitSize;
+        this.exceedTTLDelayedMessages += stats.exceedTTLDelayedMessages;
         if (stats.oldestBacklogMessageAgeSeconds > this.oldestBacklogMessageAgeSeconds) {
             this.oldestBacklogMessageAgeSeconds = stats.oldestBacklogMessageAgeSeconds;
             this.oldestBacklogMessageSubscriptionName = stats.oldestBacklogMessageSubscriptionName;