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1 | 1 | --- |
2 | | -title: "" |
| 2 | +title: "THE ALMOST LACK OF MEMORY (ALM) DISTRIBUTIONS AND THEIR APPLICATIONS" |
3 | 3 | --- |
| 4 | + |
| 5 | +Long ago baron Augustin-Louis Cauchy (1789 - 1857) proved in 1821 that if the functional |
| 6 | +equation $f(x+y)=f(x)f(y)$ holds for any non-negative arguments $x$ and $y$, then the function |
| 7 | +$f(x)$ exponential $f(x)=e^{cx}$ function. When applied to the probability property of a random |
| 8 | +lifetime of a technical unit $X$ it looks $P\{X \ge x+y\}= P \{X \ge x\}P\{X \ge y\}$. From Kaushy theorem and |
| 9 | +Probability it follows that the lifetime probability distribution function has the form $F \{X \ge' x\}= 1 - e^{-ax}$. |
| 10 | +And it follows that if this unit still works (is alive at age $y$), the chances to stay alive |
| 11 | +some more time x, is the same as when just starts functioning: |
| 12 | +$P\{X \ge x+y | X \ge y \}= P\{X \ge x\}$. |
| 13 | + |
| 14 | +A conventional reading of this property is known as Lack-of-Memory (LM) property at any age |
| 15 | +$y$. It means that at any age y the units with exponentially distributed lifetimes lose the |
| 16 | +memory about their current age and behave as a just newborn. This is a characteristic |
| 17 | +property that helps in practice to recognize the lifetime distribution of technical items. |
| 18 | + |
| 19 | +In a series of works with numerous colleagues (please, see the references) on similar |
| 20 | +properties that may be used in practice to recognize the lifetime distribution of technical |
| 21 | +items. And we found that if a lifetime shows the lack of memory at a given age c. |
| 22 | + |
| 23 | +It will lose the memory at any age mc integer multiple to the constant c for infinitely many |
| 24 | +times $m=2,3, 4,…$. For this reason, we named these distributions ALM distributions. And we |
| 25 | +found the mathematical form of this class of probability distributions, established numerous |
| 26 | +mathematical presentations, physical properties, and found various practical applications. |
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