@@ -26,18 +26,18 @@ An R package providing access to 10 baseline forecasting models from the Julia F
2626
2727## Features
2828
29- - ** 10 Forecasting Models** : From simple baselines (Constant, Marginal) to advanced time series models (ARMA, ETS, STL)
30- - ** Probabilistic Forecasting** : Multiple methods for prediction intervals (empirical, parametric, model-based)
31- - ** Comprehensive Scoring** : Compatible with scoringutils for all standard forecast evaluation metrics
32- - ** Data Transformations** : Log, power, Box-Cox transformations with automatic back-transformation
29+ - 10 Forecasting Models: From simple baselines (Constant, Marginal) to advanced time series models (ARMA, ETS, STL)
30+ - Probabilistic Forecasting: Multiple methods for prediction intervals (empirical, parametric, model-based)
31+ - Comprehensive Scoring: Compatible with scoringutils for all standard forecast evaluation metrics
32+ - Data Transformations: Log, power, Box-Cox transformations with automatic back-transformation
3333
3434## Installation
3535
3636### Prerequisites
3737
38- 1 . ** Julia** (>= 1.9): Download from [ julialang.org] ( https://julialang.org/downloads/ )
39- 2 . ** R ** (>= 3.5.0)
40- 3 . ** JuliaCall R package** : ` install.packages("JuliaCall") `
38+ 1 . Julia (>= 1.9): Download from [ julialang.org] ( https://julialang.org/downloads/ )
39+ 2 . R (>= 3.5.0)
40+ 3 . JuliaCall R package: ` install.packages("JuliaCall") `
4141
4242### Installing forecastbaselines
4343
@@ -62,6 +62,8 @@ This only needs to be done once per R session.
6262## Quick Example
6363
6464``` {r example}
65+ library(scoringutils) # for scoring
66+
6567# Your time series data
6668data <- c(1.2, 2.3, 3.1, 2.8, 3.5, 4.2, 3.9, 4.5, 4.1, 4.8)
6769
@@ -93,20 +95,20 @@ scores_summary[, c("model", "ae_point", "se_point")]
9395## Available Models
9496
9597### Simple Baseline Models
96- - ** ConstantModel* * : Naive forecast using last observed value
97- - ** MarginalModel* * : Forecasts based on empirical marginal distribution
98- - ** KDEModel* * : Kernel density estimation
98+ - * ConstantModel* : Naive forecast using last observed value
99+ - * MarginalModel* : Forecasts based on empirical marginal distribution
100+ - * KDEModel* : Kernel density estimation
99101
100102### Seasonal/Trend Models
101- - ** LSDModel* * : Last Similar Dates method (seasonal patterns)
102- - ** OLSModel* * : Ordinary least squares with polynomial trends
103- - ** IDSModel* * : Increase-Decrease-Stable trend detection
104- - ** STLModel* * : Seasonal-Trend decomposition using Loess
103+ - * LSDModel* : Last Similar Dates method (seasonal patterns)
104+ - * OLSModel* : Ordinary least squares with polynomial trends
105+ - * IDSModel* : Increase-Decrease-Stable trend detection
106+ - * STLModel* : Seasonal-Trend decomposition using Loess
105107
106108### Advanced Time Series Models
107- - ** ARMAModel* * : Autoregressive Moving Average
108- - ** INARCHModel* * : Integer-valued ARCH for count data
109- - ** ETSModel* * : Error-Trend-Season exponential smoothing (all 30 variants)
109+ - * ARMAModel* : Autoregressive Moving Average
110+ - * INARCHModel* : Integer-valued ARCH for count data
111+ - * ETSModel* : Error-Trend-Season exponential smoothing (all 30 variants)
110112
111113## Documentation
112114
@@ -116,11 +118,20 @@ For detailed guides and examples:
116118- ` vignette("forecast-models") ` - Detailed guide to all 10 models
117119- ` vignette("transformations") ` - Working with data transformations
118120
121+ ## Related Packages
122+
123+ For comprehensive time series forecasting in R, consider:
124+
125+ - [ fable] ( https://fable.tidyverts.org/ ) - A complete forecasting framework in the [ tidyverts] ( https://tidyverts.org/ ) ecosystem
126+ - [ forecast] ( https://pkg.robjhyndman.com/forecast/ ) - The classic R forecasting package with auto.arima, ets, and many other methods
127+ - [ prophet] ( https://facebook.github.io/prophet/ ) - Facebook's forecasting package for time series with strong seasonal patterns
128+ - [ modeltime] ( https://business-science.github.io/modeltime/ ) - A tidymodels framework for time series forecasting
129+
119130## Citation
120131
121132If you use this package in your research, please cite the software and the associated preprint:
122133
123- ** Software:**
134+ Software:
124135```
125136@software{forecastbaselinesr,
126137 title = {forecastbaselines: R Interface to ForecastBaselines.jl},
@@ -130,7 +141,7 @@ If you use this package in your research, please cite the software and the assoc
130141}
131142```
132143
133- ** Preprint:**
144+ Preprint:
134145```
135146@article{stapper2025baseline,
136147 title = {Mind the Baseline: The Hidden Impact of Reference Model Selection on Forecast Assessment},
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