FIP: Revision to Filecoin's Minting Model for Storage Provider Sustainability #747
Replies: 32 comments 69 replies
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What's interesting in my mind about this proposal is the simplicity of the actual change to meaningfully change the margin-dynamics and block rewards for miners. A couple of independent, neutral observations I've had when playing with this idea:
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Strong +1. I feel that discussions around solutions (temporary or otherwise) to the network wide issues we're facing more and more are very worth having, and this proposal seems sound to me. |
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I am not a big SP but I know SPs are rushing into pledging right now due to the rapid decline of block rewards per TB. I think changing the minting model can make network sustainable for longer. |
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Completely agree with the key proposal as well. As I interact with a lot of the ESPA SPs regularly, I see, hear and feel these pain points especially relating to the decline in block rewards. However, I think the questions for the community are good points for discussion as we need to know what negative consequences of having this change from raw byte to QAP would cause. |
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I'm 100% behind this change! From a financial perspective, the current entry point for any new SPs is way too high compared to the block reward return, making it very hard for anyone without huge financial backing to come onboard. This could lead to an unwanted centralisation of the data in the lomg-term. FIL loans are getting harder to pay as the interest rate is not reducing, and is deducted directly from the block reward before any revenue can be calculated and potentially converted to FIAT to cover operating costs (which means that the FIL/FIAT price doesn't matter in this scenario). In the next 6 to 12 months, this could lead to SPs having to purchase FILs to cover their weekly interests if the block reward doesn't (this could happen if block rewards were down to simple minting only), leading to more SPs existing the network. The fact that QAP is increasing is indicative of SPs out there trying to survive by trying to counteract the decrease in block rewards. |
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It's time to make some changes. |
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Does anyone know the reasoning behind the baseline threshold mechanic in the first place? I feel like I don't fully understand what it's meant to do, and so it seems like it's not helping us at the moment. If we were to completely remove the baseline threshold mechanic altogether, so that max #. of Fil tokens are always minted at each epoch, what would be the downsides to that approach? |
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The earnings of sp are taking a big hit, as I understand, because the earnings of single T are dropping significantly and the gas fees are now very high. |
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While I understand the perspective informing the current proposal, I do hold some reservations. Our primary aim should be to elevate the value of FIL. Increasing the supply in the current climate would likely depress the token's price, which would be counterproductive to attracting developers, investors, and new SPs. Moreover, adjusting new minting based on a somewhat arbitrary multiplier that already redistributes the supply from those ensuring network security via Proof-of-Spacetime to those providing “useful data” (according to a potentially debatable process) seems fraught with risks. It appears to double down on a system that already stirs controversy. Recent issues surrounding FIL+ and an increasingly heated notary system underline this concern. While well-intentioned, the instances of code of conduct enforcement can be perceived as censorship, which goes against the core ethos of crypto - the promise of building incorruptible systems through minimizing human intervention. As Storage Providers (SPs), rather than chasing more rewards, we should think about how to monetize data, considering that there's proven demand for storage, and look at blockchain rewards as a bonus. With the current state of onboarding and retrieval, the main draw of the network is the cryptographic proof of data possession, and that's a good starting point. Filecoin is a unique blockchain. But, like any blockchain, security and performance are paramount. If we lessen our reliance on FIL+, we can encourage providers to strengthen blockchain security via more Raw Byte Power. This also allows developers to concentrate on improving chain performance instead of redistributing blockchain rewards. Improved chain performance is key to attracting more projects to build on Filecoin, creating more demand for storage from new users, and contributing to a more balanced and sustainable economic model. We need to navigate carefully to ensure Filecoin's long-term sustainability. The fundamental principles of economics - notably the law of supply and demand - cannot be overlooked. Increasing the supply of FIL tokens without a corresponding rise in demand could risk further debasing the currency. We should also consider the potential impact of our actions on centralization and resistance to censorship, both important considerations, as this proposal could lead us to the edge of pitfalls that might jeopardize the project's viability. I look forward to the ongoing discussion and am eager to hear more insights from you all. |
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Supported & Agreed |
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@jcace you can checkout the reasoning behind it here https://filecoin.io/2020-engineering-filecoins-economy-en.pdf in 6.1
I totally understand where this is proposal is coming from and am interested in brainstorming potential solutions. My concern w.r.t the idea proposed by the author is that: if we simply change the baseline to be based of QAP, it encourages doing less work and contributing LESS LONG TERM STORAGE to the networks but getting higher rewards. Thus, the baseline function must change accordingly for making this a viable solution imho. |
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I completely agree with this approach, even if only in the short term whilst a solution to the declining rewards is agreed upon and implemented. The key issue is that the cost of entry and ongoing operation is far too high compared to returns. The simple solution is to generate FIAT revenues, however the network is not fit for that purpose (yet) as the tooling does not exist which would make Filecoin a palatable alternative to pre-existing and familiar solutions, which consumers need to be enticed away from...... There are solutions to the problem, but that puts the onus on the SP to develop a the required tooling, which adds more time and cost. So, in short, something needs to be done now whilst longer term solutions are discussed, agreed, developed, and implemented. |
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We are strongly supportive of this FIP and recommend emergency adoption measures |
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+1 we need to figure out how to fix this baseline issue and this approach is a strong option. Something must be done in this space or SPs will leave. |
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I see the need for a sliding scale. If you have followed anything of the Ukraine war, there is an analogy we can draw from the conflict. So here goes. We went to war with bullets, and these are our CCs. To win the war, we need artillery shells as they shape the future for a win. These are our FIL+ deals. If we invest heavily in the shells, we could find ourselves without bullets just when the enemy is up and close to us. It would be best to have bullets and not shells when you are face to face. If you run out of bullets, you might as well go home. The cost of bullets and shells is not the same. You can make some of one or the other and then perhaps divide up your productive capacity on a sliding scale basis. A general responsible for the trenches will be shouting for bullets. At the strategic level, you know the answer requires making as many shells as possible. But if you ignore your general dealing with the horrors of looking the enemy in the eye, you might not have a strategic future. This problem can be equated to the old-fashioned radios where pressing a button causes others to pop up. When you have a complex problem, it can be helpful to consult chat GPT, and the text is below: “Ultimately, the balance between bullets and artillery shells is a complex decision that requires a thorough understanding of the mission, available resources, and the specific needs of the battlefield. Generals must continually assess and adjust their resource allocation based on changing circumstances to optimize combat effectiveness and achieve their objectives.” Hidde is right to call us to arms. We have a situation that calls for change because circumstances have changed. If the self-healing mechanisms are not working, then a review of short- and long-term actions is required. Not acting is also an action with costs. We all want to win the war, but it can get a bit messy from time to time. |
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Fil+, Yes, Fil+ is at the key of this issue. Unsolvable governance issues, coupled with the pervasive abuse driven by profit motives, have resulted in rampant corruption. Fil+ has created an unfair market within the Filecoin ecosystem, leading to distorted competition and the rise of unscrupulous players. It can be said that Fil+ has contaminated the entire ecosystem. This proposal raises valid concerns, but there may be more effective and comprehensive solutions available, like:
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Holon supports this FIP. If we don't do something ASAP this network isn't going to achieve its ambitions/might not exist in 12 months. |
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I propose immediately reducing the FIL+ multiplier from 10 to 9 and committing to a schedule for further reductions until the subsidy is completely removed. Once we find a way to incentivize the behavior we want directly inside the source code then we can re-introduce power multiples. |
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I want to know how the "x10" for FIL+ was defined and why it's not "20x" or "5x." If the goal is only to incentivize FIL+ rewards without considering cost issues, it becomes a major factor in the current problem of CC being uncompetitive. There are two possible solutions: either increase the multiplier for CC similar to FIP56, or decrease the multiplier for FIL+. |
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I want to point out that Filecoin's core value is "DECENTRALISED storage" which should not be distorted by FIL+ anymore. Making a decision to remove FIL+ from the core protocol is a coming back of filecoin’s core value. It honors those people who believe in decentralised storage and shows the world that filecoin has an honorable community that can get together and make tough decisions. I expect the coming back of core value will support the market and solve the storage provider sustainability problem which is also what this FIP is trying to achieve. |
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Thanks for starting this discussion: in challenging macroeconomic environments it’s healthy to revisit the reasoning that informs the protocol’s incentive design. Some thoughts below:
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Thank you to @herrehesse and everyone that has contributed to this discussion. From our position as a provider of FIL to the ecosystem, DARMA has had the privilege of working closely with over 40 Storage Providers globally since January 2022 to onboard verified client data via our product FAUS (Filecoin Asset Use System). At the time of launch, the estimated network ROI was ~90%+ and the market rate of ~15-20% was a reasonable cost to access the much needed FIL for the 10x collateral requirement when onboarding verified/useful data. Things have changed drastically since then, with the significant drop in Raw Byte Power (RBP) on the network resulting in a rapid decline in Filecoin rewards. It is clear that there is very little reason for RBP to rise back above the baseline given in the current state of the ecosystem and we empathize with the arguments presented by community members to ease the burden on Storage Providers. We will support Storage Provider sustainability by adjusting our counterparties from a fixed use rate to a revenue-share based rate, eliminating the risk of network rewards falling below a fixed use rate. Any new and existing counterparties are welcome to reach out to us to work out and implement this adjustment. Although this is just one component of SP operational overhead, we hope that this decision will signal and resonate with other FIL providers in the space. On the more touchy topics of FIL+, baseline curve adjustment/removal, and network rewards:
Ultimately, the community as a whole must establish a clear route to profitability outside of Filecoin rewards. What is the most realistic timeline and what are the most critical components to being able to offer services that will be paid for in fiat? |
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We are further reviewing community sentiment though a poll. Please share your thoughts on our poll here: https://forms.gle/V4anZXUCLCt9vRbf9 Thank you for your participation. |
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I am a new SP, and I am trying to understand the problem area. To me, it would seem that we can boil down the "problem" into the following issues:
We seem to have two camps: Questions for both camps
B] We change the minting models to prevent the exit of SPs, but in turn, we might create a Chimera on steroids with a Hydra and a Cerberus added to the mix.
My bias would push me towards taking action to save the SPs. (Turkeys don't for Christmas) However, I am old enough to know that rarely one side has all the answers. Similarly, complexity and gut feeling can only get you so far. Data and evidence are the foundations for building arguments that can then be tested logically in support of proposals. Simply put, if I put my bias to one side. Where is the evidence for position A with all of the costs, benefits and suggested replacement or not of FIL+. Similarly for position B what are the arguments, evidence, suggestions, risks and mitigation plans to prevent a rampant classical Greek monster? Simplified: In any heated debate, the natural human reaction is to dig in, which is why science moves forward one death at a time. If we can rationally look at each concern, and address each point in turn, then not only as a community do we move forward through better understanding, but actually, the process might uncover better solutions. |
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guys please, if the purpose was to bailout storage providers we should just ask PL to manually send out cash or the 15% circulation of mining reserve as subsidy hahahaha. How ironic, we’re degenerating to classic central banks Don’t mess up the protocol, leave the protocol alone! |
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After these weeks, I sense a split between the community and PL/Foundation. At least on Github, the community's discussion seems not attracting the attention of PL/Foundation. The two organizations did not respond in a timely and clear manner. Other than that, I haven't seen many Filecoin relevant employees posting independent responses. How many employees in PL works for Filecoin? 100 people? 200 people? Are you not concerned about Filecoin's survivorship? Are there more reasons? Do you need to follow a strict public speech guide? Do you really just tend to keep quiet in this situation? Both are disappointing. How can you devote your career to a project that you yourself do not bother to care about? Everyone needs to share your own opinion in this discussion. The opinions can be positive or negative, both help the discussion to continue and help Filecoin stay relevant to DECENTRALISATION. BTW does anyone know Juan's opinion on this discussion and discussion #725 ? I think his attitude is still highly valued in the community, did I miss anything? |
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I need to say that I see see this proposal as an attempt to extinguish a fire with gasoline straight from from the fuel hose nozzle |
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Hi everyone ( Apologies for the long post) Thanks all to those that have contributed and @herrehesse for getting this started. I wanted to provide some of our insights from Holon that we have discussed and will hopefully provide some context for those that maybe don't see the problem that Storage providers face currently. Evidently this is a complex problem, my view is that this does require a 'short term solution' for the reasons outlined below and that we should continue to evolve the tokenomics to reach a more sustainable model that is more adaptive to varying environments over time (i.e. the right solution will be a work in progress). Firstly, it's important this is viewed as a community problem and not just an SP problem. I say community, because whilst SP’s will feel the impact the most, a sustained collapse in SP’s will affect lenders, PL, token holders and the ecosystem more broadly, not to mention onboarding future clients. Filecoin in general requires a bootstrap (I believe that should still be underway) and for things like the saturn network or compute over data to be successful we need more SP’s, not less. Below outlines some of the major issues that should be understood. Declining Rewards ProfileObvious and well documented. However, whilst the incentive is mostly there for SP's to maintain their contracts, the current environment does very little to spur on investment from new SP's or reinvestment from existing. It's important to understand that we don't just want SP's to break even here, SP’s need an adequate return so that they can buy equipment that is depreciating to continue on and grow. Fiat revenue lines are crucial but currently not adequate which I will touch on later. Determining that rate of return is obviously the difficult part, it varies across SP’s operating model, location and equipment etc. Regardless, this graph should help visualize what is occuring. ![]() The decline has accelerated post the baseline crossing as we know. ![]() Because of the incentive to move to FIL+, or the disincentive to add CC, there has been a decline of ~500PiB per month in Raw bytes on the network since the start of the year. The rate of decline has slowed in the last month or two but internally our 'base' modeling feels that the rewards profile will end up something below over the next year or two. ![]() That is, by early next year the rewards will likely be half even what they are today. If SP’s are not profitable today, then it’s clear that they cannot survive unless something dramatic turns this picture around. The regulatory landscape, macro landscape and the shrinking Filecoin economy all will make it challenging for SP's to raise capital to survive, likely many will not. Filecoin PriceThis is largely the crux of the issue. Not surprising, the price of FIL is one of the biggest factors affecting the community today. SP’s making a little FIL at the end of the month after all expenses would be ok if the price of FIL was much higher. We have seen a 90% decline in the price, as far as I understand, much of the initial economic engineering did not consider the price of FIL’s impact on the bootstrapping of the network. In many ways we probably overshot any expectations given the size that the network got to. Whilst not a short term solution, possibly it would be smarter if we considered the impact of the price of FIL in the tokenomics. ![]() From a FIL perspective the decline has been gradual, when we look at the same chart in USD terms, the problem becomes more real, this has not just been a recent problem but one that has been sustaining for some time. ![]() In hindsight, the value being extracted by vesting investors and storage miners in April 2021 was not equal to the 4 Billion odd dollars that was handed out. Especially when you consider that there were only 11.62 PiB of active deals on the network at the time. Again, I do not hope to solve this problem in the short term, but hopefully we can start to learn that the value being extracted by the network should be in some way related to the value being created within it. It’s not to say that those rewards should not exist, as above, the bootstrap is required, rather I’m pointing out a flaw I see in the minting mechanism, in which the price of FIL (value) that is extracted isn’t aligning to the value that is being created. This is the real issue and should be understood. SP's haven't just faced a declining FIL revenue, they have also had to deal with a 90% decline in price alongside those rewards. Keep in mind that most rewards earned to date would have gone back in as collateral for any SP growing. Baseline Minting mechanism.The minting mechanism is complex relative to many other projects, this is not a positive for new investment. Having spoken with many SP’s over the last few months, I think the reality is that many are flying blind and ‘hoping’ the pay-off is worth it in the end. I think there are several issues with the baseline minting mechanism and I do not want to go into detail on each of these, so a quick summary:
I do agree with the idea that the baseline minting mechanism helps ensure that more rewards aren’t being minted when the network is underperforming, however we end up in a circular debate given that the price of FIL seems to be the biggest factor impacting the network’s RB growth/decline. Possibly the % of tokens allocated towards baseline minting could be smaller so that the swings are not so large. Reading @vkalghatgi comments above (appreciated) i agree that the Baseline minting should be tied to raw bytes oppose to QAP. I will leave aside FIL+ for now, the issues are in someway linked and I think FIL+ is likely increasingly causing damage to the network. I have explained this prior here. If the Baseline function is tied to hardware, it seems odd that we have such a large growth rate. Projecting forward we end up in a situation where the baseline is something like 2,800 EiB as the target by 2030. For context Seagate's EiB shipped in the last 10 years compounded at about 16% per annum. Seagate represents around 40% of the market here. We should also consider that for SP’s to hit this target they would be replacing equipment. I.e. that is net growth after depreciation. This growth rate moving forward becomes practically impossible to achieve, meaning that FIL baseline rewards become insignificant. Collateral requirementsCollateral requirements for Filecoin remain high, this is not necessarily a bad thing by itself. But is increasingly becoming an issue due to the lack of FIL in the lending markets, more time by the network should be focused on encouraging the flow of FIL from circulating to SP’s. The bigger concern though for SP’s is the fixed interest rate vs the declining rewards. Anecdotally new operators hesitant about joining the network are worried about this uncertainty, with high capital costs in terms of equipment and collateral, a reasonable and somewhat predictable rate of return is required logically for new entrants. Uncertainty is the killer her. The majority of collateral arrangements today are based on a fixed interest rate in the range of 15-20%. Whilst this made sense when block rewards were 100% larger than today and the price of FIL was 10x higher, as the network continues to shrink it is likely that this problem of a high fixed interest rate vs a declining revenue stream will cause real and possibly catastrophic risk for both collateral providers and storage providers. Most of these agreements don’t work today, and in 12 months time will effectively mean that SP’s would have to buy FIL to pay off their interest. Not exactly an inspiring picture for new SP’s to join…. The revenue share is the right model and a part solution to the 'community problem'. POSSIBLE PATHS FORWARDDo nothing, fail to agreeThis is a very real option. And the case that businesses not set up properly should fail, In many ways I agree with this. A counter to this though, is what Filecoin storage Business is set up to be profitable today? Most are very much in the growth phase, most are dealing with the difficulties of running a storage system over Lotus. It is hardly a stable product. FIlecoin, is rapidly developing and in time the need for SP’s to charge fiat or earn extra revenue via COD, Saturn, will be necessary. Expecting that today, given the state of the network is a big ask. In short, we should consider Filecoin in Bootstrap phase still. If we do nothing, naturally the network will continue to shrink as SP’s fall out. Alot of the projects being worked on by PL, FF and other groups will become less effective with a shrinking number of SP’s. That means at a later date, this tooling will effectively, have to be ‘sold’ to new SP’s to onboard them…. This will be the challenge for Filecoin… In short, we need scale. I imagine the many presentations around filecoin would be much harder having to justify a fall to say 1-2 EiB, from an enterprise perspective this just means risk and would again make it harder to onboard clients, particularly enteprise. There will no doubt be an equilibrium point where the frequency of rewards to the remaining SP’s will compensate for the lowering block rewards. The argument I’m making is that to find that equilibrium will cause significantly more damage for the filecoin ecosystem longer term. Bootstrap, Scale, Utility. Modelling Baseline rewards changing to QAP from RBFirstly, this is a rough estimate the econ team can no doubt provide a more detailed analysis. Shifting the model to QAP, would increase rewards and slow the decline slightly. The Baseline target grows exponentially and compounds very quickly. Which, would likely, leave us in the exact same boat in 12 months. ![]() This might not necessarily be a problem. A combination of SP's being ready for the shift to fiat in 12 months, Filecoin utility improving, lending agreements shifting to lower rates/revenue models and the price of FIL being higher than today would all help in this transition. However, keeping the minting model linked to the raw bytes is something that we should consider. It provides a direct link to the hardware and thus the consensus mechanism. Shifting more baseline rewards to simpleBaseline certainly has it's benefits but potentially shifting more of the mining allocation from Baseline allocation to simple would achieve something similar (increasing rewards in the short term). it would also lower the swings that the baseline currently involves and it would provide more certainty to SP's that are looking to reinvest or enter the ecosystem. More analysis could be done on the amount and this would hopefully be somewhat of a simple change oppose to something that would require significant analysis and testing before rolling out. *Re-setting baseline and growth ratesThis would be another approach. The initial baseline was set at 2.88EiB. 100% growth rates on this as described above starts to compound so quickly that it becomes impractical in a few years. Lowering the baseline (which would provide an initial bump in rewards) and lowering the growth rate (which would slow the decline) would help support SP's through this period. However, there is more uncertainty in this approach and likely more detailed analysis by the econ team to understand the impacts. introducing USD feedback to limit/expand mintingLonger term it may be useful to somehow link the rewards to USD as to slow the minting in periods where it clearly is outpacing the value within the network and increasing the minting when more investment is required. Borrow future rewards and pay backFurther, an approach that looked to 'borrow' FIL from future rewards in tough times and 'pay back' those rewards in good times, would be a way in which you could spur investment when needed without altering the overall FIL in circulation over the long term. Practically, this may be more difficult. Sorry all for the long post but hopefully this helps in some ways to describe the problems and provide some ideas on how to solve. My preference is shifting more rewards to simple minting to provide more certainty, increasing rewards in the short term and keeping much of the protocol design today the same. No doubt we need to continue to iterate to get the design right. |
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Just catching up on this FIP proposal. In simple terms, is the issue that the same technical rewards minting schedule is serving a dual purpose? To incentivize both committed capacity and data onboarding? Whilst it might not be straightforward, would a separation of these minting schedules and the reward mechanism be a better solution? Probably too simplistic/impossible a view but I am also reflecting on the multiplier FIPs which also clearly evidenced this tension to a point that seemed impossible to resolve. |
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Hope the community's attention can return to this FIP from the governance dispute of FIL+. This is not a competition for gang interests, it has a real improvement effect on the network. |
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Simple Summary
Modify Filecoin's minting model to ensure financial sustainability of storage providers by linking Baseline Minting block rewards with quality adjusted power instead of raw byte power.
Abstract
As Filecoin navigates through its challenging phase, the storage providers' revenue has seen a significant (~50%) drop over the past year and a 2.8% decline in block rewards just last week. If left unaddressed, it will result in the financial instability of almost all currently operational storage providers, especially as we are not yet ready to fully transition towards the stage 3 of the minting model. The primary problem seems to stem from the initial minting model's failure to consider the impact of quality adjusted power (FIP003). Given the circumstances, we propose a revision to the minting model, offering a solution to ensure the financial sustainability of storage providers.
This proposal has received substantial positive feedback on Slack (see here: Slack Discussion), indicating the pressing need and wide acceptance within the community for changes that ensure the long-term financial health of our storage providers. We hope to take this positive momentum forward by opening up further discussions here on GitHub.
Key proposal
Change Motivation
The motivation for this proposal is two-fold. Firstly, it is necessary to address the network's double decline impact, which is a product of the current minting model and QaP and affects all active storage providers. Secondly, by reframing the network's pledge basis, we aim to provide incentives for rapid capacity growth, in turn helping to counteract the network's decline.
Product consideration
This proposal will foster a more sustainable economic model for storage providers. It addresses significant issues faced by the community, thereby enhancing the longevity and stability of the network.
Questions for the Community and Developers:
Update 07/11/2023
Update for the Community:
We would like to provide you with an update on the discussions held last week regarding the proposal to modify Filecoin's minting model. We greatly appreciate everyone's participation and the valuable insights shared during the deliberations. Based on the collective input, we have reached the following conclusions:
Taking into account the importance of prompt action, we suggest moving towards a proposal that alleviates immediate pressure on the network's health. Simultaneously, we should focus on developing more sustainable solutions for FIL+ and paid deals. It is crucial not to get caught up in lengthy network overhauls, as they would take too much time to implement, jeopardising the network's health.
We appreciate your active participation in the discussions about modifying Filecoin's minting model. The proposal has received strong support from:
Storage Providers
DCENT
Greater Heat
Holon
Seal Storage
DLTx
DSS
Blocz
Distora
Developers
Community members
Notaries
Lending Providers
Liquidity Pool Providers
SAAS Providers
While some members have expressed concerns about the network's reliance on FIL+ and suggested its removal, we believe completely removing FIL+ is not feasible or timely. The FIL+ team has made significant progress in areas such as retrievals, abuse detection, data-logging en monitoring. Completely removing it would be an excessively drastic change, especially considering the current unhealthy state of the network.
We hope that the community understands the urgency of the matter and the potential implications it holds for the Filecoin ecosystem. We look forward to your thoughts and opinions on this important topic.
ADDED POLL: https://forms.gle/ektZcc7z4WTK8xu88
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