Causal non param (pymc-devs#622)

* Adding propensity score weighting

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* updating propensity score model 2 data sets

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* added more detail re uncertainty

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* added heterogenous effects plot

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* adding myst

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* adding robust propensity scores

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* added some intro text

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* adding more write up

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* adding more write up.

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* adding write up on double robust estimators

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* angrist and pischke quote and dr math

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* removing quantile prediction adding Double ML

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* adding references

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* fixing bibfile

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* added fwl discussion

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* hiding input functions

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* hiding cells and run checks

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* full run with conclusion

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* adding conclusion and mediation section

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* addressing some of Juan's comments

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* small fixes

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* adding Hernan reference and data loads

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* updated propensity score DAG discussion

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* change approach to final plots

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* added small section on CATE

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* added Double ML reference

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* tidying and random forest CATE

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* addressing some of Alex's comments

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* alex's comments and new mediation section

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* slight changes addressing some of Alex' comments

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* fixing divergences and addressing some of Alex's feedback

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* addressing some of Ben's comments

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* tidying

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* tighter intro

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* tidying CATE section

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* tidying intro

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* fix footnote

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* trying again with footnote fix

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* better balance plots

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* tightening introduction

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* updating plotting

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* updating plots

updating strata plot

* tightening writing

* updating headings

* fixed dr bug

* added note about balance plot and paradox of overfit propensity scores

* addressing latest comments improved structure

* fix typos and add raw propensity scores example

* clearer intro

* updating myst

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* some tidying

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* better balance discussion

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* address Alex's comments and change BART likelihood in Double ML example

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

* fixing pre-commit issue

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

---------

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <[email protected]>

Author: NathanielF