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| 1 | +module functions |
| 2 | + use iso_fortran_env |
| 3 | + implicit none |
| 4 | + |
| 5 | +contains |
| 6 | + |
| 7 | +subroutine fit_fcn(x, p, f, stop) |
| 8 | + real(real64), intent(in), dimension(:) :: x |
| 9 | + !! The independent variable data array. |
| 10 | + real(real64), intent(in), dimension(:) :: p |
| 11 | + !! The array of model parameters. |
| 12 | + real(real64), intent(out), dimension(:) :: f |
| 13 | + !! The function values evaluated at x. |
| 14 | + logical, intent(out) :: stop |
| 15 | + !! Set to true to force a stop to the process; else, |
| 16 | + !! set to false to proceed as normal. |
| 17 | + |
| 18 | + ! The function to fit |
| 19 | + f = p(1) * exp(p(2) * x) * sin(p(3) * x) |
| 20 | + stop = .false. |
| 21 | +end subroutine |
| 22 | + |
| 23 | +end module |
| 24 | + |
| 25 | + |
| 26 | +! ---------- |
| 27 | +program example |
| 28 | + use iso_fortran_env |
| 29 | + use functions |
| 30 | + use fstats |
| 31 | + use fplot_core |
| 32 | + implicit none |
| 33 | + |
| 34 | + ! Parameters |
| 35 | + integer(int32), parameter :: npts = 100 |
| 36 | + real(real64), parameter :: dt = 1.0d-2 |
| 37 | + character, parameter :: tab = achar(9) |
| 38 | + character, parameter :: nl = new_line('a') |
| 39 | + |
| 40 | + ! Model Parameters |
| 41 | + real(real64), parameter :: p1 = 1.5d0 |
| 42 | + real(real64), parameter :: p2 = -5.0d-1 |
| 43 | + real(real64), parameter :: p3 = 5.0d1 |
| 44 | + |
| 45 | + ! Noise Properties |
| 46 | + real(real64), parameter :: sigma = 1.0d-1 |
| 47 | + real(real64), parameter :: mu = 0.0d0 |
| 48 | + real(real64), parameter :: range = 2.0d-1 |
| 49 | + |
| 50 | + ! Regression Parameters |
| 51 | + real(real64), parameter :: s11 = 1.0d-1 |
| 52 | + real(real64), parameter :: s22 = 1.0d-1 |
| 53 | + real(real64), parameter :: s33 = 1.0d-1 |
| 54 | + |
| 55 | + ! Local Variables |
| 56 | + logical :: stop |
| 57 | + integer(int32) :: i, burnin |
| 58 | + real(real64) :: t(npts), x(npts), noise(npts), xi(3), s(3, 3), mdl(3), & |
| 59 | + f(npts) |
| 60 | + real(real64), allocatable, dimension(:,:) :: chain |
| 61 | + type(normal_distribution) :: ndist |
| 62 | + type(mcmc_regression) :: solver |
| 63 | + type(regression_statistics), allocatable, dimension(:) :: stats |
| 64 | + |
| 65 | + ! Plot Variables |
| 66 | + type(multiplot) :: mplt |
| 67 | + type(plot_2d) :: plt, plt1, plt2, plt3 |
| 68 | + type(plot_data_2d) :: pd1, pd2 |
| 69 | + class(terminal), pointer :: term |
| 70 | + class(plot_axis), pointer :: x1, x2, x3 |
| 71 | + |
| 72 | + ! Build the signal and corrupt it a bit with some noise |
| 73 | + t = (/ (i * dt, i = 0, npts - 1) /) |
| 74 | + ndist%mean_value = mu |
| 75 | + ndist%standard_deviation = sigma |
| 76 | + noise = rejection_sample(ndist, npts, -range, range) |
| 77 | + x = p1 * exp(p2 * t) * sin(p3 * t) + noise |
| 78 | + |
| 79 | + ! Set up the regression solver |
| 80 | + solver%x = t |
| 81 | + solver%y = x |
| 82 | + solver%fcn => fit_fcn |
| 83 | + |
| 84 | + ! Define upper and lower limits for each parameter (optional) |
| 85 | + solver%upper_limits = [1.0d1, 0.0d0, 1.0d2] |
| 86 | + solver%lower_limits = [0.1d0, -1.0d0, 1.0d1] |
| 87 | + |
| 88 | + ! Define an initial guess |
| 89 | + xi = [1.0d0, -0.5d0, 2.0d1] |
| 90 | + |
| 91 | + ! Set up the proposal distribution for the solver |
| 92 | + s = reshape([& |
| 93 | + s11, 0.0d0, 0.0d0, & |
| 94 | + 0.0d0, s22, 0.0d0, & |
| 95 | + 0.0d0, 0.0d0, s33], & |
| 96 | + [3, 3] & |
| 97 | + ) |
| 98 | + call solver%initialize_proposal(xi, s) |
| 99 | + |
| 100 | + ! Compute the fit - sample 100,000 times |
| 101 | + call solver%sample(xi, niter = 100000) |
| 102 | + |
| 103 | + ! Get the chain |
| 104 | + chain = solver%get_chain() |
| 105 | + |
| 106 | + ! Extract the model - use the mean values and ignore the initial |
| 107 | + ! burn-in. Notice, the burn-in section can be ignored via the call to |
| 108 | + ! get_chain above by using the optional argument "bin" to define the |
| 109 | + ! percentage of the chain to effectively throw away. I'm choosing to |
| 110 | + ! do this way to illustrate the full chain in the plots. |
| 111 | + burnin = 3 * size(chain, 1) / 4 |
| 112 | + mdl = [ & |
| 113 | + mean(chain(burnin:,1)), & |
| 114 | + mean(chain(burnin:,2)), & |
| 115 | + mean(chain(burnin:,3)) & |
| 116 | + ] |
| 117 | + |
| 118 | + ! Evaluate the model |
| 119 | + call fit_fcn(t, mdl, f, stop) |
| 120 | + |
| 121 | + ! Compute the fit statistics |
| 122 | + stats = solver%compute_fit_statistics(mdl) |
| 123 | + |
| 124 | + ! Display the model parameters and stats |
| 125 | + print 100, ( & |
| 126 | + "Coefficient ", i, ":" // nl // & |
| 127 | + tab // "Value: ", mdl(i), nl // & |
| 128 | + tab // "Standard Error: ", stats(i)%standard_error, nl // & |
| 129 | + tab // "Confidence Interval: +/-", stats(i)%confidence_interval, nl // & |
| 130 | + tab // "T-Statistic: ", stats(i)%t_statistic, nl // & |
| 131 | + tab // "P-Value: ", stats(i)%probability, & |
| 132 | + i = 1, size(stats) & |
| 133 | + ) |
| 134 | + |
| 135 | + ! ---------- |
| 136 | + ! Plot the fit |
| 137 | + call plt%initialize() |
| 138 | + call pd1%define_data(t, f) |
| 139 | + call plt%push(pd1) |
| 140 | + call pd2%define_data(t, x) |
| 141 | + call pd2%set_draw_line(.false.) |
| 142 | + call pd2%set_draw_markers(.true.) |
| 143 | + call pd2%set_marker_style(MARKER_FILLED_CIRCLE) |
| 144 | + call pd2%set_marker_scaling(0.5) |
| 145 | + call plt%push(pd2) |
| 146 | + call plt%draw() |
| 147 | + |
| 148 | + ! ---------- |
| 149 | + ! Plot the chains |
| 150 | + call mplt%initialize(3, 1) |
| 151 | + call plt1%initialize() |
| 152 | + call plt2%initialize() |
| 153 | + call plt3%initialize() |
| 154 | + x1 => plt1%get_x_axis() |
| 155 | + x2 => plt2%get_x_axis() |
| 156 | + x3 => plt3%get_x_axis() |
| 157 | + term => mplt%get_terminal() |
| 158 | + call term%set_window_height(800) |
| 159 | + call term%set_window_width(1000) |
| 160 | + call x1%set_use_default_tic_label_format(.false.) |
| 161 | + call x1%set_tic_label_format("%0.0e") |
| 162 | + call plt1%set_title("p_1") |
| 163 | + call plt2%set_title("p_2") |
| 164 | + call plt3%set_title("p_3") |
| 165 | + call pd1%define_data(chain(:,1)) |
| 166 | + call plt1%push(pd1) |
| 167 | + call pd1%define_data(chain(:,2)) |
| 168 | + call plt2%push(pd1) |
| 169 | + call pd1%define_data(chain(:,3)) |
| 170 | + call plt3%push(pd1) |
| 171 | + call mplt%set(1, 1, plt1) |
| 172 | + call mplt%set(2, 1, plt2) |
| 173 | + call mplt%set(3, 1, plt3) |
| 174 | + call mplt%draw() |
| 175 | + |
| 176 | + ! ----- |
| 177 | +100 format(A, I0, A F6.3, A, F6.3, A, F6.3, A, F8.3, A, F6.3) |
| 178 | +end program |
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