[BUG] vegas_wpa / wpa incorrect on some end-of-half and overtime plays

[kbannon77]

Is there an existing issue for this?

• I have searched the existing issues

Have you installed the latest development version of the package(s) in question?

• I have installed the latest development version of the package.

If this is a data issue, have you tried clearing your nflverse cache?

I have cleared my nflverse cache and the issue persists.

What version of the package do you have?

1.5.0

Describe the bug

Was trying to figure out which successful FGs or extra points reduced wp over the past decade. I found many with huge negative wpa, most were either game winners or end-of-first-half FGs. Additionally, it seems that the first touchdown of overtime is being credited with too much wpa under the new rules.

Reprex

nflfastR::load_pbp(2025) |>
  filter(home_team == "DET" & away_team == "NYG", qtr == 5) |>
  select(posteam, desc, play_type, vegas_wp, vegas_wpa)

Expected Behavior

I would expect the extra point kicked on the third play here to have a positive wpa, but this says the wpa is -0.4989.

Additionally, under the new overtime rules, I would not think that a touchdown on the second play of overtime would take WP up to 92%, before or after the extra point.

csv of this overtime is attached.

det_nyg_25_ot.csv

nflverse_sitrep

NA

Screenshots

Additional context

No response