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Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Garlock (Central)

(top)

1 Week 1 Month 1 Year 10 Year
MPD MPD MPD MPD
Magnitude 1 wk TI Prob 1 wk TD Prob 1 wk ETAS Prob 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only 1 mo TI Prob 1 mo TD Prob 1 mo ETAS Prob 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only 1 yr TI Prob 1 yr TD Prob 1 yr ETAS Prob 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only 10 yr TI Prob 10 yr TD Prob 10 yr ETAS Prob 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0 5.5131142E-5 7.024681E-5 0.2000562 2847.9043 0.2 2.3625491E-4 3.010234E-4 0.20024082 665.2002 0.2 0.0028726095 0.0036588663 0.2029271 55.46174 0.2 0.028357591 0.036079824 0.22886387 6.343264 0.2
6.1 5.5131142E-5 7.024681E-5 0.2000562 2847.9043 0.2 2.3625491E-4 3.010234E-4 0.20024082 665.2002 0.2 0.0028726095 0.0036588663 0.2029271 55.46174 0.2 0.028357591 0.036079824 0.22886387 6.343264 0.2
6.2 4.216245E-5 5.1661493E-5 5.1661493E-5 1.0 0.0 1.806837E-4 2.2138779E-4 2.2138779E-4 1.0 0.0 0.0021976046 0.0026920962 0.0026920962 1.0 0.0 0.021759989 0.026689773 0.026689773 1.0 0.0
6.3 4.216245E-5 5.1661493E-5 5.1661493E-5 1.0 0.0 1.806837E-4 2.2138779E-4 2.2138779E-4 1.0 0.0 0.0021976046 0.0026920962 0.0026920962 1.0 0.0 0.021759989 0.026689773 0.026689773 1.0 0.0
6.4 3.6858168E-5 4.411054E-5 4.411054E-5 1.0 0.0 1.5795401E-4 1.8903162E-4 1.8903162E-4 1.0 0.0 0.0019213937 0.002299056 0.002299056 1.0 0.0 0.019048655 0.02284894 0.02284894 1.0 0.0
6.5 3.39199E-5 4.0018083E-5 4.0018083E-5 1.0 0.0 1.453629E-4 1.7149492E-4 1.7149492E-4 1.0 0.0 0.0017683565 0.002085973 0.002085973 1.0 0.0 0.017543508 0.020759864 0.020759864 1.0 0.0
6.6 3.3571985E-5 3.9472274E-5 3.9472274E-5 1.0 0.0 1.4387199E-4 1.6915603E-4 1.6915603E-4 1.0 0.0 0.0017502342 0.0020575512 0.0020575512 1.0 0.0 0.017365133 0.020481179 0.020481179 1.0 0.0
6.7 3.2580007E-5 3.8088703E-5 3.8088703E-5 1.0 0.0 1.3962112E-4 1.632272E-4 1.632272E-4 1.0 0.0 0.0016985617 0.0019855013 0.0019855013 1.0 0.0 0.016856372 0.019773813 0.019773813 1.0 0.0
6.8 3.2185937E-5 3.7515918E-5 3.7515918E-5 1.0 0.0 1.3793244E-4 1.6077272E-4 1.6077272E-4 1.0 0.0 0.0016780337 0.001955672 0.001955672 1.0 0.0 0.016654192 0.019480614 0.019480614 1.0 0.0
6.9 3.165394E-5 3.6720503E-5 3.6720503E-5 1.0 0.0 1.3565269E-4 1.5736422E-4 1.5736422E-4 1.0 0.0 0.0016503202 0.001914247 0.001914247 1.0 0.0 0.01638118 0.019073246 0.019073246 1.0 0.0
7.0 3.0903822E-5 3.5625766E-5 3.5625766E-5 1.0 0.0 1.3243823E-4 1.5267303E-4 1.5267303E-4 1.0 0.0 0.0016112428 0.0018572307 0.0018572307 1.0 0.0 0.015996104 0.018512413 0.018512413 1.0 0.0
7.1 3.0069863E-5 3.4392073E-5 3.4392073E-5 1.0 0.0 1.2886449E-4 1.4738638E-4 1.4738638E-4 1.0 0.0 0.0015677959 0.0017929734 0.0017929734 1.0 0.0 0.01556781 0.017880075 0.017880075 1.0 0.0
7.2 2.7957109E-5 3.128145E-5 3.128145E-5 1.0 0.0 1.1981068E-4 1.340566E-4 1.340566E-4 1.0 0.0 0.0014577188 0.0016309366 0.0016309366 1.0 0.0 0.014481937 0.016283695 0.016283695 1.0 0.0
7.3 2.4519275E-5 2.6714795E-5 2.6714795E-5 1.0 0.0 1.0507837E-4 1.1448703E-4 1.1448703E-4 1.0 0.0 0.0012785783 0.001393003 0.001393003 1.0 0.0 0.012712469 0.013928054 0.013928054 1.0 0.0
7.4 2.3225532E-5 2.51994E-5 2.51994E-5 1.0 0.0 9.95342E-5 1.0799304E-4 1.0799304E-4 1.0 0.0 0.0012111551 0.0013140367 0.0013140367 1.0 0.0 0.012045753 0.013145725 0.013145725 1.0 0.0
7.5 2.097765E-5 2.2483688E-5 2.2483688E-5 1.0 0.0 8.9901114E-5 9.635517E-5 9.635517E-5 1.0 0.0 0.0010939965 0.0011725046 0.0011725046 1.0 0.0 0.010886264 0.011740365 0.011740365 1.0 0.0
7.6 1.511254E-5 1.5991332E-5 1.5991332E-5 1.0 0.0 6.476642E-5 6.853253E-5 6.853253E-5 1.0 0.0 7.882459E-4 8.3407195E-4 8.3407195E-4 1.0 0.0 0.007854558 0.008383559 0.008383559 1.0 0.0
7.7 9.934069E-6 1.0678794E-5 1.0678794E-5 1.0 0.0 4.2573887E-5 4.5765457E-5 4.5765457E-5 1.0 0.0 5.182138E-4 5.570524E-4 5.570524E-4 1.0 0.0 0.00517007 0.005627684 0.005627684 1.0 0.0
7.8 6.7562896E-6 8.428449E-6 8.428449E-6 1.0 0.0 2.8955206E-5 3.6121426E-5 3.6121426E-5 1.0 0.0 3.5247262E-4 4.3968976E-4 4.3968976E-4 1.0 0.0 0.0035191406 0.004446654 0.004446654 1.0 0.0
7.9 3.975453E-6 5.37103E-6 5.37103E-6 1.0 0.0 1.7037546E-5 2.3018498E-5 2.3018498E-5 1.0 0.0 2.0741238E-4 2.8021427E-4 2.8021427E-4 1.0 0.0 0.002072189 0.0028336283 0.0028336283 1.0 0.0
8.0 1.6729537E-6 2.0775144E-6 2.0775144E-6 1.0 0.0 7.169782E-6 8.903603E-6 8.903603E-6 1.0 0.0 8.7288594E-5 1.0839601E-4 1.0839601E-4 1.0 0.0 8.7254314E-4 0.0010969337 0.0010969337 1.0 0.0
8.1 3.6733252E-7 3.1489964E-7 3.1489964E-7 1.0 0.0 1.5742813E-6 1.3495693E-6 1.3495693E-6 1.0 0.0 1.9166706E-5 1.6430899E-5 1.6430899E-5 1.0 0.0 1.9165053E-4 1.6638759E-4 1.6638759E-4 1.0 0.0

Little Lake

(top)

1 Week 1 Month 1 Year 10 Year
MPD MPD MPD MPD
Magnitude 1 wk TI Prob 1 wk TD Prob 1 wk ETAS Prob 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only 1 mo TI Prob 1 mo TD Prob 1 mo ETAS Prob 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only 1 yr TI Prob 1 yr TD Prob 1 yr ETAS Prob 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only 10 yr TI Prob 10 yr TD Prob 10 yr ETAS Prob 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0 2.8424427E-5 3.120572E-5 0.10002808 3205.4407 0.1 1.2181328E-4 1.337327E-4 0.10012036 748.6603 0.1 0.0014820677 0.0016271127 0.1014644 62.358555 0.1 0.014722223 0.016165402 0.11454886 7.0860515 0.1
6.1 2.8424427E-5 3.120572E-5 0.10002808 3205.4407 0.1 1.2181328E-4 1.337327E-4 0.10012036 748.6603 0.1 0.0014820677 0.0016271127 0.1014644 62.358555 0.1 0.014722223 0.016165402 0.11454886 7.0860515 0.1
6.2 2.8424427E-5 3.120572E-5 0.10002808 3205.4407 0.1 1.2181328E-4 1.337327E-4 0.10012036 748.6603 0.1 0.0014820677 0.0016271127 0.1014644 62.358555 0.1 0.014722223 0.016165402 0.11454886 7.0860515 0.1
6.3 1.48860645E-5 1.6081389E-5 1.6081389E-5 1.0 0.0 6.379586E-5 6.8918576E-5 6.8918576E-5 1.0 0.0 7.7643775E-4 8.3878887E-4 8.3878887E-4 1.0 0.0 0.007737305 0.008359048 0.008359048 1.0 0.0
6.4 1.48860645E-5 1.6081389E-5 1.6081389E-5 1.0 0.0 6.379586E-5 6.8918576E-5 6.8918576E-5 1.0 0.0 7.7643775E-4 8.3878887E-4 8.3878887E-4 1.0 0.0 0.007737305 0.008359048 0.008359048 1.0 0.0
6.5 1.2797581E-5 1.3765565E-5 1.3765565E-5 1.0 0.0 5.4845623E-5 5.899409E-5 5.899409E-5 1.0 0.0 6.675408E-4 7.18042E-4 7.18042E-4 1.0 0.0 0.006655392 0.00715977 0.00715977 1.0 0.0
6.6 9.661896E-6 1.0289038E-5 1.0289038E-5 1.0 0.0 4.1407468E-5 4.409522E-5 4.409522E-5 1.0 0.0 5.040193E-4 5.367433E-4 5.367433E-4 1.0 0.0 0.005028777 0.0053560743 0.0053560743 1.0 0.0
6.7 7.767871E-6 8.199687E-6 8.199687E-6 1.0 0.0 3.329045E-5 3.5141118E-5 3.5141118E-5 1.0 0.0 4.0523586E-4 4.2777284E-4 4.2777284E-4 1.0 0.0 0.004044977 0.004270846 0.004270846 1.0 0.0
6.8 6.4235196E-6 6.7357446E-6 6.7357446E-6 1.0 0.0 2.752908E-5 2.8867229E-5 2.8867229E-5 1.0 0.0 3.35115E-4 3.5141467E-4 3.5141467E-4 1.0 0.0 0.003346101 0.00350985 0.00350985 1.0 0.0
6.9 3.1283696E-6 3.1121804E-6 3.1121804E-6 1.0 0.0 1.3407229E-5 1.3337856E-5 1.3337856E-5 1.0 0.0 1.6322079E-4 1.6237781E-4 1.6237781E-4 1.0 0.0 0.0016310095 0.00162274 0.00162274 1.0 0.0
7.0 2.290603E-6 2.2286815E-6 2.2286815E-6 1.0 0.0 9.816834E-6 9.551463E-6 9.551463E-6 1.0 0.0 1.19513395E-4 1.162839E-4 1.162839E-4 1.0 0.0 0.0011944914 0.0011623327 0.0011623327 1.0 0.0
7.1 1.293693E-6 1.1776827E-6 1.1776827E-6 1.0 0.0 5.5443866E-6 5.0472063E-6 5.0472063E-6 1.0 0.0 6.750081E-5 6.14487E-5 6.14487E-5 1.0 0.0 6.7480316E-4 6.143856E-4 6.143856E-4 1.0 0.0
7.2 4.715842E-7 3.0917857E-7 3.0917857E-7 1.0 0.0 2.0210737E-6 1.3250503E-6 1.3250503E-6 1.0 0.0 2.4606294E-5 1.6132375E-5 1.6132375E-5 1.0 0.0 2.460357E-4 1.6131258E-4 1.6131258E-4 1.0 0.0
7.3 3.9430947E-7 2.3097488E-7 2.3097488E-7 1.0 0.0 1.6898966E-6 9.89892E-7 9.89892E-7 1.0 0.0 2.0574296E-5 1.2051869E-5 1.2051869E-5 1.0 0.0 2.0572392E-4 1.20512224E-4 1.20512224E-4 1.0 0.0
7.4 3.547123E-7 1.9679135E-7 1.9679135E-7 1.0 0.0 1.5201948E-6 8.4339126E-7 8.4339126E-7 1.0 0.0 1.8508214E-5 1.0268241E-5 1.0268241E-5 1.0 0.0 1.8506673E-4 1.02677724E-4 1.02677724E-4 1.0 0.0
7.5 2.6354266E-7 1.4423138E-7 1.4423138E-7 1.0 0.0 1.129468E-6 6.181344E-7 6.181344E-7 1.0 0.0 1.3751187E-5 7.5257603E-6 7.5257603E-6 1.0 0.0 1.3750336E-4 7.5255106E-5 7.5255106E-5 1.0 0.0
7.6 1.269913E-7 7.572556E-8 7.572556E-8 1.0 0.0 5.4424834E-7 3.245381E-7 3.245381E-7 1.0 0.0 6.6262032E-6 3.9512443E-6 3.9512443E-6 1.0 0.0 6.626006E-5 3.9511775E-5 3.9511775E-5 1.0 0.0