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--- Case Study: Fervo Energy Whitepaper
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- --- Norbeck, J.H. and Latimer, T.M. 2024.
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+ --- Norbeck J.H. and Latimer T.M. 2024.
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--- "Commercial-Scale Demonstration of a First-of-a-Kind Enhanced Geothermal System."
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--- https://doi.org/10.31223/X52X0B
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+ --- Drilling costs from:
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+ ---- Kareem El-Sadi; Brittany Gierke; Elliot Howard; Christian Gradl; 2024
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+ ---- "Review Of Drilling Performance In A Horizontal EGS Development"
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+ ---- https://pangea.stanford.edu/ERE/db/GeoConf/papers/SGW/2024/Elsadi.pdf?t=1706897516
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+ ----
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+ ---- This case study is a commercial-scale demonstration of a first-of-a-kind enhanced geothermal system.
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+ ---- The reservoir is a 7700-foot deep; 2800 kg/m3 density; 1000 J/kg/K heat capacity; 2.7 W/m/K thermal conductivity reservoir.
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+ ---- The reservoir has 87 fractures; each 750 feet high; 1000 feet wide; and 30 feet apart.
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+ ---- The reservoir has a 72.86 degree temperature gradient.
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+ ---- The second paper figure 4 shows a drilling cost that has plateaued and about $400 per foot. GEOPHIRES cannot
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+ ---- handle a drilling cost estimate on a per foot basis but drilling cost correlation of VERTICAL_LARGE_INT1 (10)
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+ ---- has a cost of $397.12 per foot at 7700 feet so we will use that.
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+ ---- NOTES:
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+ -------- The paper does not discuss stimulation costs which could be substantially more than the default values used here.
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+ -------- The paper does not discuss makeup water - how much what cost etc.
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+ -------- The paper does not discuss redrilling or rentry to refrac etc.
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***Reservoir Parameters***
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Reservoir Model, 1
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Reservoir Volume Option,1, ---Should be 1 2 3 or 4. See manual for details.
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- Reservoir Density, 2700
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- Reservoir Depth, 2347 meter
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+ Reservoir Density, 2800, about the average for phyllite, quartzite, diorite, and granodiorite, per paper
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+ Reservoir Depth, 7700 feet
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Reservoir Heat Capacity,1000, ---[J/kg/K]
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Reservoir Thermal Conductivity, 2.7
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- Number of Fractures, 100
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+ Number of Fractures, 87, between 75 and 100 per paper
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Fracture Shape, 4
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- Fracture Height, 100
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- Fracture Width, 991 meter
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- Fracture Separation, 10 meter
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+ Fracture Height, 750 feet, per figure 14 of paper
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+ Fracture Width, 1000 feet, per figure 14 of paper
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+ Fracture Separation, 30 feet, per paper
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Number of Segments,1, ---[-]
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- Gradient 1, 68
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+ Gradient 1, 72.86
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Drawdown Parameter,.00002, ---[kg/s/m2]
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Maximum Temperature, 500
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@@ -27,13 +43,14 @@ Well Geometry Configuration, 4, ----L
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Has Nonvertical Section, True
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Multilaterals Cased, True
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Number of Multilateral Sections, 2, ---Two parallel horizontal sections
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- Total Nonvertical Length, 990 meter
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- Well Drilling Cost Correlation,3, --- [-] Use built-in well drilling cost correlation #3 = vertical large diameter
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- Horizontal Well Drilling Cost Correlation,4, --- [-] Use built-in well drilling cost correlation #4 = deviated large diameter
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- Production Flow Rate per Well, 63
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- Production Well Diameter, 7
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- Injection Well Diameter, 7
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- Injection Temperature, 50
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+ Well Separation, 365 feet, per paper
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+ Total Nonvertical Length, 3250 feet
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+ Well Drilling Cost Correlation,10, See above -this gets us about $400/foot
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+ Horizontal Well Drilling Cost Correlation,10, See above -this gets us about $400/foot at 7700 feet
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+ Production Flow Rate per Well, 47.32, this is 750 gpm, range from paper was 650 gpm to 850 gpm (41-54 kg/s)
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+ Production Well Diameter, 7 inch
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+ Injection Well Diameter, 7 inch
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+ Injection Temperature, 100 degF, The paper says is is between 75 and 125 F
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Injection Wellbore Temperature Gain,3, ---[deg.C]
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Injectivity Index, 5, ---[kg/s/bar]
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Productivity Index, 5
@@ -43,13 +60,14 @@ Water Loss Fraction,0.02, ---[-]
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Maximum Drawdown,1, ---[-] no redrilling considered
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***Surfaceplant Parameters***
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- Ambient Temperature, 10.27, ---[deg.C]
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- Surface Temperature, 10.27
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+ Ambient Temperature, 8 degC, per the paper, but the mean annual temperature in Milford is 10.27 ---[deg.C]
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+ Surface Temperature, 8 degC, per the paper, but the mean annual temperature in Milford is 10.27 ---[deg.C]
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End-Use Option,1, ---electricity as the main product
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- Plant Lifetime, 30
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- Power Plant Type,4, ---Double-Flash
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+ Plant Lifetime, 23, not referenced in paper but performance drops off substantially after 23 years due to heat mined
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+ Power Plant Type,2, per the paper, it will be a supercritical ORC
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End-Use Efficiency Factor,.9, ---[-]
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Circulation Pump Efficiency,.80, ---[-]
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+ Plant Outlet Pressure, 1450 psi, paper says 1000 psi to 2000 psi (1500 will exceed max value, so we use 1450)
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*** Economic Parameters***
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Economic Model,3, ---BICYCLE Levelized Cost Model
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