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Merge pull request #99 from softwareengineerprogrammer/fervo_project_cape-4_sensitivity-analysis
`Fervo_Project_Cape-4` sensitivity analysis
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docs/Fervo_Project_Cape-4.md

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## Uncertainty & Sensitivities
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Given the methodological approach, including speculative estimation of some input parameters, and lack of real-world
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reference data for comparison, the case study results are subject to uncertainty. This case study does not attempt to
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quantify uncertainties, but sensitivity analysis may be included in future updates. Users may wish to perform their own
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sensitivity analysis using [GEOPHIRES's Monte Carlo simulation module](Monte-Carlo-User-Guide.html) or other data
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analysis
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tools.
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reference data for comparison, the case study results are subject to uncertainty. Users may wish to perform their own
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sensitivity analysis using [GEOPHIRES's Monte Carlo simulation module](Monte-Carlo-User-Guide.html) or other data analysis tools.
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### Stimulation & Construction Inflation Costs
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The following tables and heatmaps show Electricity breakeven price (LCOE) and NPV sensitivity to stimulation cost and inflation costs during construction (a proxy for construction delays and cost overruns).
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Stimulation costs were tested from $2.3M/well (Reservoir Stimulation Capital Cost Adjustment Factor = 0.5) to $9.2M/well (Reservoir Stimulation Capital Cost Adjustment Factor = 2).
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Construction inflation costs were tested from $53.58M (Inflation Rate During Construction = 2.3%) to $340.13M (Inflation Rate During Construction = 14.6%).
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#### LCOE
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.. image:: _images/fervo_project_cape-4_stim-infl-lcoe-table_2025-08-18.png
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:width: 66%
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.. image:: _images/fervo_project_cape-4_stim-infl-lcoe-heatmap_2025-08-13.png
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:width: 66%
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#### NPV
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.. image:: _images/fervo_project_cape-4_stim-infl-npv-table_2025-08-18.png
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:width: 66%
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.. image:: _images/fervo_project_cape-4_stim-infl-npv-heatmap_2025-08-13.png
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:width: 66%
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## References
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docs/SAM-Economic-Models.md

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You can then manually enter the parameters from the logged mapping into the SAM desktop app.
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![](sam-desktop-app-manually-enter-system-capacity-from-geophires-log.png)
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![](_images/sam-desktop-app-manually-enter-system-capacity-from-geophires-log.png)
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## Add-Ons
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