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docsrc/community.rst

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with yearly, weekly, and daily seasonality, plus holiday effects.
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- `ArviZ <https://github.com/arviz-devs/arviz>`__ A Python package (with a
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`Julia interface <https://julia.arviz.org/stable/>`_) for exploratory analysis of
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`Julia interface <https://julia.arviz.org/ArviZ/stable/>`_) for exploratory analysis of
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Bayesian models. Includes functions for posterior analysis, data storage,
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model checking, comparison and diagnostics.
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docsrc/users-guide/hello_world.rst

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^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
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The sampler outputs are the set of per-chain
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`Stan CSV files <https://mc-stan.org/docs/cmdstan-guide/stan-csv.html>`__,
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`Stan CSV files <https://mc-stan.org/docs/cmdstan-guide/stan_csv_apdx.html>`__,
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a non-standard CSV file format.
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Each data row of the Stan CSV file contains the per-iteration estimate of the Stan model
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parameters, transformed parameters, and generated quantities variables.
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CmdStan is distributed with a second posterior analysis utility
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`diagnose <https://mc-stan.org/docs/cmdstan-guide/diagnose.html>`__
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`diagnose <https://mc-stan.org/docs/cmdstan-guide/diagnose_utility.html>`__
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which analyzes the per-draw sampler parameters across all chains
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looking for potential problems which indicate that the sample
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isn't a representative sample from the posterior.

docsrc/users-guide/outputs.rst

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----------------
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Underlyingly, the CmdStan outputs are a set of per-chain
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`Stan CSV files <https://mc-stan.org/docs/cmdstan-guide/stan-csv.html#mcmc-sampler-csv-output>`__.
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`Stan CSV files <https://mc-stan.org/docs/cmdstan-guide/stan_csv_apdx.html#mcmc-sampler-csv-output>`__.
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The filenames follow the template '<model_name>-<YYYYMMDDHHMMSS>-<chain_id>'
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plus the file suffix '.csv'.
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CmdStanPy also captures the per-chain console and error messages.

docsrc/users-guide/overview.rst

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+ Do inference on the model conditioned on the data, using one of Stan inference algorithms
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+ Exact Bayesian estimation using the `NUTS-HMC sampler <https://mc-stan.org/docs/reference-manual/hmc.html>`__.
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+ Exact Bayesian estimation using the `NUTS-HMC sampler <https://mc-stan.org/docs/reference-manual/mcmc.html#hamiltonian-monte-carlo>`__.
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+ Approximate Bayesian estimation algorithms `Pathfinder <https://mc-stan.org/docs/reference-manual/pathfinder.html>`__
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and `ADVI <https://mc-stan.org/docs/reference-manual/vi-algorithms.html>`__.
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and `ADVI <https://mc-stan.org/docs/reference-manual/variational.html>`__.
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+ MAP estimation by `optimization <https://mc-stan.org/docs/reference-manual/optimization-algorithms.html>`__.
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+ MAP estimation by `optimization <https://mc-stan.org/docs/reference-manual/optimization.html>`__.
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+ Generate new quantities of interest from a model given an existing sample.
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docsrc/users-guide/workflow.rst

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An example of each is provided in the `next section <examples.rst>`__.
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* The :meth:`~CmdStanModel.sample` method runs Stan's
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`HMC-NUTS sampler <https://mc-stan.org/docs/reference-manual/hamiltonian-monte-carlo.html>`__.
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`HMC-NUTS sampler <https://mc-stan.org/docs/reference-manual/mcmc.html#hamiltonian-monte-carlo>`__.
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It returns a :class:`CmdStanMCMC` object which contains
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a sample from the posterior distribution of the model conditioned on the data.
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a sample from a Gaussian approximation the posterior distribution.
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* The :meth:`~CmdStanModel.variational` method runs Stan's
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`Automatic Differentiation Variational Inference (ADVI) algorithm <https://mc-stan.org/docs/reference-manual/vi-algorithms-chapter.html>`__.
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`Automatic Differentiation Variational Inference (ADVI) algorithm <https://mc-stan.org/docs/reference-manual/variational.html>`__.
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It returns a :class:`CmdStanVB` object which contains an approximation the posterior distribution.
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* The :meth:`~CmdStanModel.optimize` runs one of Stan's
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`optimization algorithms <https://mc-stan.org/docs/reference-manual/optimization-algorithms-chapter.html>`__
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`optimization algorithms <https://mc-stan.org/docs/reference-manual/optimization.html>`__
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to find a mode of the density specified by the Stan program.
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It returns a :class:`CmdStanMLE` object.
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`generate_quantities method <https://mc-stan.org/docs/cmdstan-guide/standalone-generate-quantities.html>`__.
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which generates additional quantities of interest from a mode. Its take an existing fit as input and
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uses the parameter estimates in the fit to run the Stan program's
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`generated quantities block <https://mc-stan.org/docs/reference-manual/program-block-generated-quantities.html>`__.
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`generated quantities block <https://mc-stan.org/docs/reference-manual/blocks.html#program-block-generated-quantities>`__.
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It returns a :class:`CmdStanGQ` object.
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