|
2 | 2 | #' |
3 | 3 | #' The `crps()` and `scrps()` functions and their `loo_*()` counterparts can be |
4 | 4 | #' used to compute the continuously ranked probability score (CRPS) and scaled |
5 | | -#' CRPS (SCRPS) (see Bolin and Wallin, 2022). CRPS is a proper scoring rule, and |
| 5 | +#' CRPS (SCRPS) (as defined by Bolin and Wallin, 2023). CRPS is a proper scoring rule, and |
6 | 6 | #' strictly proper when the first moment of the predictive distribution is |
7 | 7 | #' finite. Both can be expressed in terms of samples form the predictive |
8 | | -#' distribution. See e.g. Gneiting and Raftery (2007) for a comprehensive |
9 | | -#' discussion on CRPS. |
| 8 | +#' distribution. See, for example, a paper by Gneiting and Raftery (2007) |
| 9 | +#' for a comprehensive discussion on CRPS. |
10 | 10 | #' |
11 | 11 | #' To compute (S)CRPS, the user needs to provide two sets of draws, `x` and |
12 | 12 | #' `x2`, from the predictive distribution. This is due to the fact that formulas |
|
32 | 32 | #' |
33 | 33 | #' @return A list containing two elements: `estimates` and `pointwise`. |
34 | 34 | #' The former reports estimator and standard error and latter the pointwise |
35 | | -#' values. |
| 35 | +#' values. Following Bolin & Wallin (2023), a larger value is better. |
36 | 36 | #' |
37 | 37 | #' @examples |
38 | 38 | #' \dontrun{ |
|
47 | 47 | #' } |
48 | 48 | #' |
49 | 49 | #' @references |
50 | | -#' Bolin, D., & Wallin, J. (2022). Local scale invariance and robustness of |
51 | | -#' proper scoring rules. arXiv. \doi{10.48550/arXiv.1912.05642} |
| 50 | +#' Bolin, D., & Wallin, J. (2023). Local scale invariance and robustness of |
| 51 | +#' proper scoring rules. Statistical Science, 38(1):140-159. |
52 | 52 | #' |
53 | 53 | #' Gneiting, T., & Raftery, A. E. (2007). Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, |
54 | 54 | #' Prediction, and Estimation. Journal of the American Statistical Association, |
|
0 commit comments