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dev/articles/loo2-elpd.html

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dev/articles/loo2-example.html

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dev/articles/loo2-large-data.html

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dev/articles/loo2-lfo.html

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dev/articles/loo2-moment-matching.html

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dev/articles/loo2-moment-matching.md

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@@ -153,7 +153,7 @@ print(fit, pars = "beta")
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beta[2] -0.57 0 0.02 -0.62 -0.59 -0.57 -0.55 -0.52 2467 1
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beta[3] -0.31 0 0.04 -0.38 -0.34 -0.32 -0.29 -0.24 2000 1
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Samples were drawn using NUTS(diag_e) at Wed Dec 3 00:23:24 2025.
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Samples were drawn using NUTS(diag_e) at Wed Dec 3 18:33:06 2025.
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For each parameter, n_eff is a crude measure of effective sample size,
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and Rhat is the potential scale reduction factor on split chains (at
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convergence, Rhat=1).

dev/pkgdown.yml

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@@ -11,7 +11,7 @@ articles:
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loo2-non-factorized: loo2-non-factorized.html
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loo2-weights: loo2-weights.html
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loo2-with-rstan: loo2-with-rstan.html
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last_built: 2025-12-02T23:35Z
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last_built: 2025-12-03T17:44Z
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urls:
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reference: https://mc-stan.org/loo/reference
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article: https://mc-stan.org/loo/articles

dev/reference/crps.html

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dev/reference/crps.md

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@@ -139,8 +139,8 @@ fit <- stan_glm(kid_score ~ mom_hs + mom_iq, data = kidiq)
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#>
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#> SAMPLING FOR MODEL 'continuous' NOW (CHAIN 1).
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#> Chain 1:
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#> Chain 1: Gradient evaluation took 2.3e-05 seconds
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#> Chain 1: 1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0.23 seconds.
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#> Chain 1: Gradient evaluation took 2.4e-05 seconds
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#> Chain 1: 1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0.24 seconds.
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#> Chain 1: Adjust your expectations accordingly!
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#> Chain 1:
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#> Chain 1:
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#>
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#> SAMPLING FOR MODEL 'continuous' NOW (CHAIN 2).
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#> Chain 2:
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#> Chain 2: Gradient evaluation took 9e-06 seconds
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#> Chain 2: 1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0.09 seconds.
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#> Chain 2: Gradient evaluation took 1e-05 seconds
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#> Chain 2: 1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0.1 seconds.
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#> Chain 2: Adjust your expectations accordingly!
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#> Chain 2:
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#> Chain 2:
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#> Chain 2: Iteration: 1800 / 2000 [ 90%] (Sampling)
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#> Chain 2: Iteration: 2000 / 2000 [100%] (Sampling)
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#> Chain 2:
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#> Chain 2: Elapsed Time: 0.03 seconds (Warm-up)
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#> Chain 2: 0.058 seconds (Sampling)
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#> Chain 2: 0.088 seconds (Total)
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#> Chain 2: Elapsed Time: 0.031 seconds (Warm-up)
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#> Chain 2: 0.059 seconds (Sampling)
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#> Chain 2: 0.09 seconds (Total)
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#> Chain 2:
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#>
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#> SAMPLING FOR MODEL 'continuous' NOW (CHAIN 3).
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#> Chain 3:
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#> Chain 3: Gradient evaluation took 8e-06 seconds
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#> Chain 3: 1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0.08 seconds.
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#> Chain 3: Gradient evaluation took 1e-05 seconds
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#> Chain 3: 1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0.1 seconds.
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#> Chain 3: Adjust your expectations accordingly!
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#> Chain 3:
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#> Chain 3:
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#> Chain 3: Iteration: 2000 / 2000 [100%] (Sampling)
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#> Chain 3:
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#> Chain 3: Elapsed Time: 0.033 seconds (Warm-up)
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#> Chain 3: 0.058 seconds (Sampling)
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#> Chain 3: 0.091 seconds (Total)
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#> Chain 3: 0.059 seconds (Sampling)
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#> Chain 3: 0.092 seconds (Total)
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#> Chain 3:
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#>
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#> SAMPLING FOR MODEL 'continuous' NOW (CHAIN 4).
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#> Chain 4:
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#> Chain 4: Gradient evaluation took 3.1e-05 seconds
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#> Chain 4: 1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0.31 seconds.
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#> Chain 4: Gradient evaluation took 9e-06 seconds
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#> Chain 4: 1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0.09 seconds.
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#> Chain 4: Adjust your expectations accordingly!
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#> Chain 4:
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#> Chain 4:
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#> Chain 4: Iteration: 1800 / 2000 [ 90%] (Sampling)
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#> Chain 4: Iteration: 2000 / 2000 [100%] (Sampling)
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#> Chain 4:
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#> Chain 4: Elapsed Time: 0.031 seconds (Warm-up)
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#> Chain 4: 0.057 seconds (Sampling)
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#> Chain 4: 0.088 seconds (Total)
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#> Chain 4: Elapsed Time: 0.032 seconds (Warm-up)
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#> Chain 4: 0.058 seconds (Sampling)
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#> Chain 4: 0.09 seconds (Total)
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#> Chain 4:
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ypred1 <- posterior_predict(fit)
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ypred2 <- posterior_predict(fit)

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