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In case you're interested in the correct analytical solution... #1

@mikeshardmind

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@mikeshardmind

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You can find working python code for this here: https://github.com/unified-moderation-network/salamander/blob/main/src/contrib_extensions/dice/dicemath.py#L108-L116

Notably, this does not equal what you conjectured at 24:56 of the associated video
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And you are welcome to use this in any follow-up.

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