| Item | Amount | Type, Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | ||
| One-time hardware sale | $200 | One time |
| Annual software subscription | $100 | Recurring |
| Additional hardware (sensors and coolers) | $130 | One time |
| VR Headset sale | $300 | One time |
| Cost of Sales | ||
| Sensors (average) | $30 | One time |
| Coolers | $100 | One time |
| Device | $200 | One time |
| VR Headset | $300 | One time |
| Software | $100 | Recurring |
| Description | Amount | Type |
|---|---|---|
| Hardware unit sale (average revenue per unit) | $200 | One time |
| Annual software subscription | $100 | Recurring |
| Additional hardware (sensors and coolers) | $130 | One time |
| VR Headset sale (one-time revenue, not included in recurring) | $300 | One time |
| Description | Percentage | Type |
|---|---|---|
| Cost of hardware components | 90% | One time |
| Cost of software (recurring) | 10% | Recurring |
| Description | Amount | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Discounts for recurring | $0 | Total, over billing period |
| Discounts for transaction | $0 | Total, first transaction only |
| Description | Amount | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Recurring - Period for billing, # of months | 12 | Defines the billing cycle, so that cash collection can be separate from revenues. By default, this equals the period for churn, but you can overwrite and change it |
| Recurring - Period for churn, growth, # months | 12 | Define the length of a cycle for churn. Annual = 12, monthly = 1 |
| % Growth in Gross Margin per unit, linear annual growth | 30% | Annual rate, linear growth |
| % Churn, every 12 months | 5% | % that do not renew |
| Average Customer Lifetime | 240 | # months |
| Description | Amount | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Months after acquisition when one-time occurs | 12 | Months; this will be zero for upfront, one-time fees, perhaps assume 12 for one-time fees that happen after 1 year |
| Description | Amount | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Transaction - Period for churn, growth, # months | 12 | Months |
| % Growth in Gross Margin per unit, linear annual growth | 30% | Annual rate, linear growth |
| % Churn, every period | 5% | % that do not repeat |
| Average # Repeat Transactions per year | 1.0 | Average lifetime one time purchases, before churn |
| Average # of Lifetime Transactions | 20.0 | Calculated |
| Description | Amount | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Discount Rate | 5.0% | Optional, assume an annual rate. Used if you want to discount the future cash flows, using methodology from https://www.forentrepreneurs.com/ltv/ |
| K, Recurring | 0.95 | Optional, only used if using discount rate |
| K, Transaction | 0.95 | Optional, only used if using discount rate |
| Description | Amount | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) | $120 | May need to adjust based on one time discounts, which costs to use from CAC forecast, and other business-specific issues |
| Cost of Retention and Expansion, Recurring | $10 | For subscription renewals |
| Cost of Repeat and Expansion, Transaction | $120 | For repeat transactions |
| Description | Amount | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| LTV, Recurring | $38 | Formula for LTV from https://www.forentrepreneurs.com/ltv/ to use discount rate (optional), and growth in average revenue (optional) |
| LTV, One-time | $(1,160) | LTV = revenues less cost of sales for this one time cash flow assumed in the first month of forecast |
| LTV, Transaction | $(1,122) | Formula for LTV from https://www.forentrepreneurs.com/ltv/ to use discount rate (optional), and growth in average revenue (optional) |
| LTV | $(1,122) | Sum of all LTVs |
| LTV / CAC | $(9) | LTV / CAC, to help measure profitability performance |
| CAC Payback | $(1.50) | # of months to payback the customer acquisition costs, based on gross margin |
Click on the "+" sign in the margin to see the detail behind the calculations
| Description | Amount | Type |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenues, Recurring | $100 | Recurring |
| Total Revenues, One-time | $400 | One time |
| Total Revenues, Transaction | $0 | Transaction |
| Total Cost of Sales, Recurring | 90% | Recurring |
| Total Cost of Sales, One-time | 90% | One time |
| Total Cost of Sales, Transaction | 0% | Transaction |
| Gross Margin, Recurring | $10 | |
| Gross Margin, One-time | $40 | |
| Gross Margin, Transaction | $0 | |
| Gross Margin, Recurring, less cost of retention and expansion, recurring | $10 | |
| Gross Margin, One-time, less retention | $40 | Same as gross margin above |
| Gross Margin, Transaction, less retention | $(120) | Includes costs of retention, expansion, and repeat in the gross margin calculation, reflecting CORE expenses as per https://www.forentrepreneurs.com/ltv/ |
| Description | Month from acquisition |
|---|---|
| 1 | |
| Recurring (Timing of Renewal / Churn) # | - |
| Repeat (Timing of Repeat / Churn) # | - |
| Transactions (New and Repeat) # | 1 |
| Retention, Recurring % | 100% |
| Retention, One-time % | 100% |
| Retention, Transaction % | 100% |
| Description | Amount per period | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues, Recurring | $100.0 | |
| Revenues, One-time | $400.0 | |
| Revenues, Transaction | $0.0 | |
| Cost of Sales, Recurring | $90.0 | |
| Cost of Sales, One-time | $360.0 | |
| Cost of Sales, Transaction | $0.0 | |
| Billings, net discounts, Recurring | $1200.0 | |
| Billings, net discounts, One-time | $400.0 | |
| Billings, net discounts, Transaction | $0.0 | |
| Acquisition Costs | $120.0 | |
| Retention Costs | $10.0 | |
| Repeat Acquisition Costs | $120.0 | |
| Billings, net of churn | $1542.0 | |
| Net Revenues, net of churn | $495.0 | |
| Cost of Sales, net of churn | $446.0 | |
| Gross Margin, net of churn, per period | $49.0 | |
| Cumulative Gross Margin, net of churn | $169.0 | |
| Net Gross Margin, net of churn, discounted | $47.0 | |
| Cumulative Gross Margin, net of churn, discounted | $164.0 |
| Description | Amount | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| LTV, Recurring | $38 | Formula from For Entrepreneurs |
| LTV, One-time | $(120) | |
| LTV | $(9) | To help measure profitability performance |
| CAC Payback | $(1.50) | Number of months to pay back the customer acquisition costs, based on gross margin |
| Description | Amount | Type |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenues, Recurring | $100 | Recurring |
| Total Revenues, One-time | $400 | One time |
| Total Revenues, Transaction | $0 | Transaction |
| Total Cost of Sales, Recurring | 90% | Recurring |
| Total Cost of Sales, One-time | 90% | One time |
| Total Cost of Sales, Transaction | 0% | Transaction |
| Gross Margin, Recurring | $10 | |
| Gross Margin, One-time | $40 | |
| Gross Margin, Transaction | $0 | |
| Gross Margin, Recurring, less cost of retention and expansion, recurring | $10 | |
| Gross Margin, One-time, less retention | $(120) | Includes costs of retention, expansion, and repeat in the gross margin calculation, reflecting CORE expenses as per For Entrepreneurs |
| Description | Amount per period | Cumulative Amount | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Cash Flow, per period | $990 | ||
| Cumulative Net Cash Flow | $990 | ||
| Net Cash Flow, per period, discounted | $990 | ||
| Cumulative Net Cash Flow, discounted | $990 |
| Description | Month from acquisition |
|---|---|
| 1 | |
| Recurring (Timing of Billing Cycle) # | - |
| Recurring (Timing of Renewal / Churn) # | - |
| Repeat (Timing of Repeat / Churn) # | - |
| Transactions (New and Repeat) # | 1 |
| Retention, Recurring % | 100% |
| Retention, One-time % | 100% |
| Retention, Transaction % | 100% |
| Description | Amount per period | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues, net of churn, Recurring | $100.0 | |
| Revenues, net of churn, One-time | $400.0 | |
| Revenues, net of churn, Transaction | $0.0 | |
| Cost of Sales, net of churn, Recurring | $90.0 | |
| Cost of Sales, net of churn, One-time | $360.0 | |
| Cost of Sales, net of churn, Transaction | $0.0 | |
| Billings, net discounts, Recurring | $1200.0 | |
| Billings, net discounts, One-time | $400.0 | |
| Billings, net discounts, Transaction | $0.0 | |
| Acquisition Costs, net of churn | $120.0 | |
| Retention Costs, net of churn | $10.0 |