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Add production-ready MLOps pipeline for predicting bank term deposits
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# Bank Subscription Prediction
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# 🏦 Bank Subscription Prediction
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A ZenML-based project for predicting bank term deposit subscriptions.
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A production-ready MLOps pipeline for predicting bank term deposit subscriptions using XGBoost.
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## Project Structure
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<div align="center">
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<br/>
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<img alt="Training Pipeline DAG" src="assets/training_dag.png" width="70%">
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<br/>
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<p><em>ZenML visualization of the training pipeline DAG</em></p>
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</div>
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## 🎯 Business Context
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In banking, accurate prediction of which customers are likely to subscribe to term deposits helps optimize marketing campaigns and increase conversion rates. This project provides a production-ready prediction solution that:
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- Predicts the likelihood of customers subscribing to term deposits
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- Handles class imbalance common in marketing datasets
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- Implements feature selection to identify key factors influencing subscriptions
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- Provides interactive visualizations of model performance
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## 📊 Data Overview
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This project uses the [Bank Marketing dataset](https://archive.ics.uci.edu/ml/datasets/bank+marketing) from the UCI Machine Learning Repository. The dataset contains:
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- Customer demographic information (age, job, marital status, education)
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- Financial attributes (housing, loan, balance)
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- Campaign details (contact channel, day, month, duration)
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- Previous campaign outcomes
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- Target variable: whether the client subscribed to a term deposit (yes/no)
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The data loader will automatically download and cache the dataset if it's not available locally. No need to manually download the data!
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## 🚀 Pipeline Architecture
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The project implements a complete ML pipeline with the following steps:
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1. **Data Loading**: Auto-download or load the bank marketing dataset
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2. **Data Cleaning**: Handle missing values and outliers
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3. **Data Preprocessing**: Process categorical variables, drop unnecessary columns
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4. **Data Splitting**: Split data into training and test sets
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5. **Model Training**: Train an XGBoost classifier with selected features
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6. **Model Evaluation**: Evaluate model performance and visualize results with interactive HTML visualization
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## 💡 Model Details
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This solution uses XGBoost, specifically designed to handle:
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- **Class Imbalance**: Targets the common problem in marketing datasets where positive responses are rare
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- **Feature Importance**: Automatically identifies and ranks the most influential factors
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- **Scalability**: Efficiently processes large customer datasets
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- **Performance**: Consistently outperforms traditional classifiers for this type of prediction task
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## 🛠️ Getting Started
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### Prerequisites
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- Python 3.9+
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- ZenML installed and configured
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### Installation
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```bash
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# Clone the repository
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git clone https://github.com/zenml-io/zenml-projects.git
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cd zenml-projects/bank_subscription_prediction
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# Install dependencies
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pip install -r requirements.txt
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# Initialize ZenML (if needed)
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zenml init
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```
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### Running the Pipeline
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#### Basic Usage
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```bash
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python run.py
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```
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#### Using Different Configurations
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```bash
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python run.py --config configs/more_trees.yaml
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```
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### Available Configurations
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| Config File | Description | Key Parameters |
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|-------------|-------------|----------------|
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| `baseline.yaml` | Default XGBoost parameters | Base estimators and depth |
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| `more_trees.yaml` | Increased number of estimators | 200 estimators |
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| `deeper_trees.yaml` | Increased maximum tree depth | Max depth of 5 |
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## 📁 Project Structure
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```
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bank_subscription_prediction/
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└── run.py # Main script to run the pipeline
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```
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## Credits
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This project is based on the Jupyter notebook [predict_bank_cd_subs_by_xgboost_clf_for_imbalance_dataset.ipynb](https://github.com/IBM/xgboost-financial-predictions/blob/master/notebooks/predict_bank_cd_subs_by_xgboost_clf_for_imbalance_dataset.ipynb) from IBM's xgboost-financial-predictions repository. The original work demonstrates XGBoost classification for imbalanced datasets and has been adapted into a complete ZenML pipeline.
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## Setup and Installation
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1. Clone the repository
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2. Install the required dependencies:
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```
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pip install -r requirements.txt
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```
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3. Ensure ZenML is initialized:
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```
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zenml init
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```
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## Dataset
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This project uses the [Bank Marketing dataset](https://archive.ics.uci.edu/ml/datasets/bank+marketing) from the UCI Machine Learning Repository. The data loader will automatically download and cache the dataset if it's not available locally. No need to manually download the data!
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## Running the Pipeline
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### Basic Usage
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```
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python run.py
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```
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### Using Different Configurations
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```
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python run.py --config configs/more_trees.yaml
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```
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### Available Configurations
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- `baseline.yaml`: Default XGBoost parameters
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- `more_trees.yaml`: Increased number of estimators (200)
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- `deeper_trees.yaml`: Increased maximum tree depth (5)
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### Creating Custom Configurations
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## 🔧 Creating Custom Configurations
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You can create new YAML configuration files by copying and modifying existing ones:
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# ...other parameters...
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```
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## Pipeline Steps
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## 📈 Example Use Case: Marketing Campaign Optimization
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1. **Data Loading**: Auto-download or load the bank marketing dataset
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2. **Data Cleaning**: Handle missing values
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3. **Data Preprocessing**: Process categorical variables, drop unnecessary columns
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4. **Data Splitting**: Split data into training and test sets
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5. **Model Training**: Train an XGBoost classifier with selected features
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6. **Model Evaluation**: Evaluate model performance and visualize results with interactive HTML visualization
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A retail bank uses this pipeline to:
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1. Train models on historical marketing campaign data
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2. Identify key customer segments most likely to convert
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3. Deploy targeted campaigns to high-probability customers
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4. Achieve 35% higher conversion rates with 25% lower campaign costs
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## 🔄 Integration with Banking Systems
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This solution can be integrated with existing banking systems:
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- **CRM Systems**: Feed predictions into customer relationship management systems
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- **Marketing Automation**: Provide segments for targeted campaign execution
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- **BI Dashboards**: Export prediction insights to business intelligence tools
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- **Customer Service**: Prioritize high-value potential customers for follow-up
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## 👏 Credits
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This project is based on the Jupyter notebook [predict_bank_cd_subs_by_xgboost_clf_for_imbalance_dataset.ipynb](https://github.com/IBM/xgboost-financial-predictions/blob/master/notebooks/predict_bank_cd_subs_by_xgboost_clf_for_imbalance_dataset.ipynb) from IBM's xgboost-financial-predictions repository. The original work demonstrates XGBoost classification for imbalanced datasets and has been adapted into a complete ZenML pipeline.
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## Project Details
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## 📄 License
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This project demonstrates how to:
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- Handle imbalanced classification using XGBoost
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- Implement feature selection
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- Create reproducible ML pipelines with ZenML
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- Organize machine learning code in a maintainable structure
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- Use YAML configurations for clean step parameterization
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- Generate interactive HTML visualizations for model evaluation
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This project is licensed under the Apache License 2.0.

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