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Update case_studies/model_comparison/sir_seir.ipynb
Co-authored-by: Radka Jersakova <rjersakova@turing.ac.uk>
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case_studies/model_comparison/sir_seir.ipynb

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"**Interpreting the Results:** Because our ground truth data was generated with an incubation rate ($\\sigma = 0.2$), you might expect a strong preference for the SEIR model. However, because this is a toy problem relying strictly on a single data point type (peak infection rate), there is not enough information to break the geometric degeneracy between the parameters. Consequently, you will likely see a Bayes Factor indicating only **weak evidence** in favor of either model. \n",
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"This beautifully illustrates the concept of Bayesian model comparison: the evidence inherently penalizes the SEIR model's extra complexity because the simple peak infection data is not rich enough to justify the additional parameter over the prior volume."
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