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decode-venturing

1sim_vc_responses.py

Input/Output File Name Path Type Description
Input: Scenario templates
Output: Generates 10 detailed startup descriptions per template
VC Design Grid.csv decode-venturing/VC Design Grid.csv Input (CSV) Template file with startup scenario parameters
Input: Training data for Marc's investment style Pmarca Blog Archives.pdf decode-venturing/Pmarca Blog Archives.pdf Input (PDF) Marc Andreessen's investment philosophy
Input: Training data for Bill's investment style bill gurley.md decode-venturing/bill gurley.md Input (MD) Bill Gurley's investment approach
Contains: Numerical embeddings for similarity analysis embeddings.csv embeddings.csv Output (CSV) Vector representations of startup descriptions
Contains: Pairwise similarity scores between all startups cosine_similarity.csv cosine_similarity.csv Output (CSV) Startup similarity matrix
Contains: Execution score (1-10), Market score (1-10), Investment decision (Yes/No), Reasoning vc_investor_responses.csv decode-venturing/vc_investor_responses.csv Output (CSV) Investment decisions

2sim_based_2step_calib.py

Input/Output File Name Path Type Description
Input: Execution/Market scores, Investment decisions vc_investor_responses.csv decoding_decision/vc_investor_responses.csv Input (CSV) Investment decisions data
Input: Stan model code for two-step calibration two_step_model.stan decoding_decision/stan/two_step_model.stan Input (Stan) Statistical model specification
Contains: Parameter posterior distributions two_step_stan_output decoding_decision/two_step_stan_output Output (CSV) Model fitting results

3plot_diagnostics.py

Input/Output File Name Path Type Description
Input: Raw investment decisions vc_investor_responses.csv decoding_decision/vc_investor_responses.csv Input (CSV) Investment decisions data
Input: Parameter posterior distributions two_step_stan_output decoding_decision/two_step_stan_output Input (CSV) Model results
Shows: Predicted vs actual investment probabilities calibration_plot.png Generated during runtime Output (PNG) Diagnostic visualization
Shows: Investment probability by execution/idea scores heatmap_plot.png Generated during runtime Output (PNG) Diagnostic visualization

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