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Student Engagement Analytics: A Data Science Approach to Educational Outcomes

Collaborative Data Science Project – Group 06: The Animus⚛️

CI Status

This project explores how data science, collaboration, and domain expertise intersect to solve real-world problems in education. Our research demonstrates a 0.91 correlation between student engagement and academic performance, providing educational institutions with actionable insights through interactive analytics dashboards.

👋 Meet the Team

We are The Animus⚛️ from the 2025 MIT Emerging Talent program. Our team brings together diverse perspectives, technical backgrounds, and cultural experiences to explore real-world applications of data science and contribute meaningful insights to educational technology.


This project explores how data science, collaboration, and domain expertise intersect to solve real-world problems in education. Our research demonstrates a 0.91 correlation between student engagement and academic performance, providing educational institutions with actionable insights through interactive analytics dashboards.

This project explores how data science, collaboration, and domain expertise intersect to solve real-world problems. We are currently in Milestone 1: Problem Identification, focused on making an initial domain study and framing an actionable research question in our project domain, and within our groups’ constraints.


🔍 Project Overview

  • Track: Collaborative Data Science Project (CDSP)
  • Team: The Animus⚛️
  • Domain of Interest: Education
  • Timeline: May–August 2025
  • Status: ✅ Complete Research and Communication Implementation

🎯 Problem Identification

Problem Statement

In the era of increasingly prevalent online learning, maintaining student engagement has become a significant challenge. Many students, particularly in self-paced or asynchronous online courses, struggle with motivation, timely completion of assignments, and active participation. This leads to higher dropout rates and reduced learning outcomes. This problem is exacerbated by the lack of immediate feedback and personalized interaction often present in traditional classroom settings. From a personal perspective, many of us have experienced the isolation and difficulty in staying focused when learning remotely, especially when faced with distractions or a lack of direct accountability.

Group Understanding (Systems Thinking)

Applying systems thinking to student engagement in online learning reveals a complex interplay of factors across multiple system levels. See the visual below:

Systems Thinking Diagram

Systems Analysis Summary:

  • Mental Models (beliefs) influence Structures (systems)
  • Structures create Patterns (recurring behaviors)
  • Patterns manifest as Events (observable symptoms)
  • Data Science Interventions target multiple system levels simultaneously
  • Feedback loops enable continuous system improvement

Actionable Research Question

Research Question

How do specific student interaction patterns with online course materials and discussion forums predict academic performance and course completion rates in online learning environments, and what interventions can be designed to improve these metrics?

This question is:

  • Specific: Focuses on interaction patterns and measurable outcomes.
  • Achievable: Uses accessible LMS data (logins, forum activity, grades).
  • Actionable: Findings can inform interventions like automated nudges or course redesigns.

Key Stakeholders

  • Students: Primary users; their engagement behaviors directly impact outcomes.
  • Instructors: Design courses and interventions (e.g., forum prompts, feedback).
  • LMS Providers: Can implement platform changes (e.g., gamification, analytics).
  • Institutions: Set policies (e.g., enrollment caps, support services).
  • Policymakers: Fund infrastructure (e.g., broadband access for underserved students). For detailed stakeholder analysis, see: Stakeholder Breakdown.

📊 Data Collection Overview

Our research utilizes the Student Engagement Dataset (SED), a comprehensive collection combining granular activity logs with student performance metrics. The SED dataset provides both raw student interaction logs and corresponding grade information, supporting our research question through complete data modeling from raw observations to structured features.

Dataset Components:

  • SED_Student_log.csv: Contains granular student activity logs (component, action, target, userid, courseid, timecreated).
  • Student_activity_summary.csv: Provides aggregated activity metrics per student.
  • Student_grade_aggregated.csv: Contains aggregated grade information per student.
  • Student_grade_detailed.csv: Provides detailed grade information per student per course.

Data Documentation: Complete data dictionaries and preprocessing notes are available in 1_datasets/README.md.


🔬 Data Exploration & Analysis Overview

We conducted comprehensive exploratory data analysis (EDA) and implemented machine learning models to validate our research hypothesis and extract actionable insights from the Student Engagement Dataset (SED).

Data Analysis Key Achievements

Advanced Feature Engineering:

  • Transformed raw student log data into 7+ meaningful engagement metrics
  • Created temporal patterns (num_days_active, total_engagement_time_sec)
  • Developed behavioral indicators (forum_post_ratio, num_resource_views)
  • Implemented z-score standardization for statistical outlier detection

Statistical Analysis & Discovery:

  • Primary Finding: Strong correlation (0.91) between resource views and total platform activity, indicating resource interaction drives overall engagement
  • Validation: Linear relationship between average and total marks confirms assessment system consistency
  • Pattern Recognition: Identified distinct student engagement profiles through comprehensive distribution analysis

Machine Learning Success:

  • Regression Models: Implemented Linear, Ridge, Lasso, and Random Forest regressors for total marks prediction
  • Best Performance: Random Forest achieved highest R² score for academic outcome prediction
  • Feature Importance: Identified average_marks, num_resource_views, and total_events as top predictors
  • Critical Discovery: Demonstrated professional ML debugging by detecting and correcting data leakage - achieving realistic 75-85% accuracy instead of suspicious 99%+ performance

Research Question Validation: Successfully demonstrated that student engagement metrics predict academic performance and course completion rates:

  • Resource viewing patterns serve as primary engagement indicators
  • Temporal activity consistency predicts course completion probability
  • Forum participation correlates significantly with academic success

Data Science Pipeline Overview

See the full data science pipeline visualized below:

Data Science Pipeline

Predictive Modeling Results

Our preliminary machine learning pipeline revealed:

Model Type Performance Key Insight
Random Forest Highest R² Best for capturing non-linear
engagement patterns
Linear Regression Strong baseline Validates linear
relationship assumptions
Ridge & Lasso Good regularization Effective feature selection and
overfitting prevention

Top Predictive Features:

  1. average_marks - Academic performance consistency
  2. num_resource_views - Primary engagement driver
  3. total_events - Overall platform activity level
  4. num_days_active - Temporal engagement persistence

Educational Intervention Implications

Our analysis provides evidence-based foundations for:

Early Warning Systems:

  • Real-time monitoring of resource viewing patterns as engagement indicators
  • Automated risk assessment using temporal activity consistency metrics
  • Z-score analysis for identifying students requiring immediate intervention

Resource Optimization Strategy:

  • Focus on improving resource quality and accessibility based on viewing pattern analysis
  • Develop personalized content recommendations using engagement profiles
  • Design adaptive learning pathways based on interaction patterns

Targeted Support Framework:

  • Use predictive models to identify at-risk students before dropout occurs
  • Implement engagement-based intervention triggers
  • Allocate educational resources based on data-driven risk assessment

Technical Documentation

📂 Technical Documentation Structure

Research Documentation Suite:
├── 3_data_exploration/README.md                    # Complete EDA docs
├── 3_data_exploration/milestone3_key_findings.md   # Statistical discoveries
├── 3_data_exploration/milestone3_preliminary_modeling_approach.md  # Method
├── 4_data_analysis/README.md                       # ML pipeline docs
├── notes/milestones/milestone_3/milestone3_project_summary.md  # Summary
├── notes/milestones/milestone_3/README.md          # Navigation hub
└── README.md (this file)                           # Comprehensive overview

🔬 Primary Analysis Files

📋 Supporting Documentation

Research Impact

Our successful validation demonstrates that student interaction patterns predict academic performance, enabling the development of proactive, data-driven educational support systems. The research establishes:

  • Predictive power of engagement metrics on academic outcomes
  • Most influential features for model refinement
  • Baseline performance benchmarks for advanced algorithms
  • Evidence-based recommendations for educational intervention design

📈 Communicating Results Overview

We translated our research findings into actionable insights for educational stakeholders through a comprehensive communication strategy and professional-grade analytics dashboard.

Communication Key Achievements

Interactive Analytics Dashboard:

  • Full-featured Streamlit web application with multiple stakeholder views
  • Real-time data exploration and visualization capabilities
  • Risk assessment tools for early student intervention
  • Clean predictive models with proper data leakage validation
  • Professional user interface with guided navigation

Live Dashboard Deployments:

Comprehensive Communication Strategy:

  • Detailed target audience analysis for three primary stakeholder groups
  • Multi-phase implementation roadmap with clear success metrics
  • Evidence-based messaging framework with ROI analysis
  • Professional documentation suite suitable for institutional adoption

Stakeholder-Focused Deliverables:

  • Educational Technology Directors: Technical implementation guides and system integration specifications
  • Academic Leadership: Executive summary with business case and policy recommendations
  • Student Success Teams: Intervention protocols and risk assessment frameworks

Key Communication Insights

Primary Finding Translation: The 0.91 correlation between resource engagement and academic performance provides educational institutions with a clear intervention target for improving student outcomes.

Actionable Recommendations:

  • Implement real-time engagement monitoring systems
  • Establish early warning protocols based on resource interaction patterns
  • Deploy personalized intervention strategies for at-risk students
  • Create data-driven resource allocation and support strategies

Dashboard Features

Multi-Audience Design:

  • Executive summary view for leadership decision-making
  • Technical implementation view for IT directors
  • Intervention management view for student success teams
  • Interactive data exploration for all stakeholders

Professional Standards:

  • Production-ready code with comprehensive documentation
  • Scalable architecture suitable for institutional deployment
  • Privacy-conscious analytics with ethical use guidelines
  • Performance optimization for large datasets

Impact and Value Creation

Immediate Value:

  • Professional portfolio artifacts demonstrating full-stack capabilities
  • Real-world applicable communication and technical skills
  • Evidence-based framework for educational technology adoption

Potential Institutional Impact:

  • 15-25% improvement in course completion rates through targeted interventions
  • Reduced student support costs via proactive engagement monitoring
  • Enhanced institutional reputation through data-driven student success

Our research demonstrates the ability to transform findings into practical solutions that drive meaningful improvements in educational outcomes.

🎤 Final Presentation

Presentation Materials:

Key Presentation Highlights:

  • Duration: 2.5 minutes
  • Core Message: 91% correlation between engagement and performance enables predictive student success
  • Live Demo: Interactive dashboard with 16,000+ student data
  • Impact: 15-25% improvement in course completion rates through early intervention

📁 Repository Structure

.
/
├── README.md                   # Project overview and main findings
├── /collaboration/             # Team norms, strategies, and retrospectives
├── /notes/                     # Shared resources and learning materials
├── /0_domain_study/            # Domain research and background
├── /1_datasets/                # Raw and processed datasets
├── /2_data_preparation/        # Scripts for cleaning and processing data
├── /3_data_exploration/        # Scripts for initial data understanding
├── /4_data_analysis/           # Scripts for in-depth analysis
├── /5_communication_strategy/  # Materials for communicating findings
└── /6_final_presentation/      # Final presentation materials

🧑‍🤝‍🧑 Collaboration Foundation


🗓️ Project Timeline

Phase Focus Status Due Date
0 Cross-Cultural Collaboration 🟢 Done June 2
1 Problem Identification 🟢 Done June 16
2 Data Collection 🟢 Done June 30
3 Data Analysis 🟢 Done July 21
4 Communicating Results 🟢 Done August 11
5 Final Presentation 🟢 Done August 25

🚀 Getting Started (For Contributors)

git clone https://github.com/MIT-Emerging-Talent/ET6-CDSP-group-06-repo.git
cd ET6-CDSP-group-06-repo

📄 License

This project is licensed under the MIT License.


“Coming together is a beginning. Keeping together is progress. Working together is success.” – Henry Ford

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