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This PR introduces a detailed and educational implementation of Time Series Analysis and ARIMA Modeling in R.

Overview

The TimeSeriesAnalyzer R6 class provides a complete framework for time series modeling, from data preparation and stationarity testing to ARIMA model fitting, forecasting, and diagnostics.

Features

  • Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test for stationarity
  • Automatic ACF and PACF computation
  • Manual ARIMA model fitting with AIC-based model selection
  • Forecast generation with confidence intervals
  • Model diagnostics including:
    • Ljung–Box test (autocorrelation)
    • Jarque–Bera normality test
    • ARCH effect test (heteroskedasticity)

Demonstration

Run demonstrate_time_series_analysis() to:

  • Generate a synthetic AR(1) process with trend and seasonality
  • Perform stationarity testing
  • Compute ACF/PACF
  • Select best ARIMA(p,d,q) model
  • Generate 12-step-ahead forecasts with 95% confidence intervals
  • Perform full residual diagnostics

Complexity

  • ADF Test: O(n)
  • ACF/PACF: O(n × lag)
  • ARIMA Fitting (grid search): O(p × d × q × n)

This addition strengthens the R statistical modeling module, offering a powerful, self-contained tool for time series forecasting and model evaluation.

@siriak siriak requested a review from Copilot October 12, 2025 12:51
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Pull Request Overview

This PR introduces a comprehensive time series analysis and ARIMA modeling implementation in R, featuring an R6 class-based approach for educational and practical statistical modeling.

Key Changes:

  • Implements TimeSeriesAnalyzer R6 class with complete ARIMA workflow
  • Provides stationarity testing, model selection, forecasting, and diagnostic capabilities
  • Includes demonstration function showcasing synthetic time series analysis

@siriak siriak requested a review from Copilot October 12, 2025 13:19
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Pull Request Overview

Copilot reviewed 1 out of 1 changed files in this pull request and generated 7 comments.

@siriak siriak requested a review from Copilot October 12, 2025 13:24
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Pull Request Overview

Copilot reviewed 1 out of 1 changed files in this pull request and generated 5 comments.

@siriak siriak merged commit a5cbeec into TheAlgorithms:master Oct 12, 2025
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2 participants