Fernando de Oliveira foliveira18

Fernando Oliveira

Head of Division — Analytics, Data and Modelling
Trade and Agriculture Directorate, OECD

Current: Head of Division (Analytics, Data & Modelling) — OECD, Trade & Agriculture
Interests: decision support, behavioral design, applied analytics, product demos, rapid prototyping

I build practical, lightweight tools that turn messy real-world decisions into small, trackable actions.

My work connects operations research, artificial intelligence, and economic policy analysis to support decision-making under uncertainty in complex systems such as supply chains, energy markets, and digital platforms.

Publications & Research

Peer-reviewed publications in operations research, energy economics, decision science, and information systems.

Academic papers repository:
https://foliveira18.github.io/published_articles/
Risk Analytics Book — draft chapters of the book Risk Analytics: Machine Learning and Optimization for Data-Driven Decision Making
https://foliveira18.github.io/risk-analytics-book/

Research profiles:

Google Scholar: https://scholar.google.com/citations?hl=en&user=iO2v-HgAAAAJ
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4357-1607

Writing

I also develop longer-form essays and book manuscripts exploring the conceptual foundations of decision-making, risk, and complex systems.

Substack publications:

Risk Analysis Notebook — research notes and draft chapters from a book project on risk analysis, decision theory, and quantitative modelling of uncertainty.
https://riskanalysis.substack.com
Become Tomorrow — essays exploring the philosophical and scientific implications of artificial intelligence, technological evolution, and the future of human decision-making.
https://becametomorrow.substack.com