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  • Current: Head of Division (Analytics, Data & Modelling) — OECD, Trade & Agriculture
  • Interests: decision support, behavioral design, applied analytics, product demos, rapid prototyping

I build practical, lightweight tools that turn messy real-world decisions into small, trackable actions.

My work connects operations research, artificial intelligence, and economic policy analysis to support decision-making under uncertainty in complex systems such as supply chains, energy markets, and digital platforms.


Publications & Research

Peer-reviewed publications in operations research, energy economics, decision science, and information systems.

Research profiles:


Writing

I also develop longer-form essays and book manuscripts exploring the conceptual foundations of decision-making, risk, and complex systems.

Substack publications:

  • Risk Analysis Notebook — research notes and draft chapters from a book project on risk analysis, decision theory, and quantitative modelling of uncertainty.
    https://riskanalysis.substack.com

  • Become Tomorrow — essays exploring the philosophical and scientific implications of artificial intelligence, technological evolution, and the future of human decision-making.
    https://becametomorrow.substack.com


Projects

I also build lightweight prototypes for decision-support and behavioural tools.

Example:

Pathfinder — decision-support micro-coach

Landing page
https://foliveira18.github.io/pathfinder/

Demo
https://pathfinder-demo-eight.vercel.app

Repositories


Contact

Email
foliveira18@gmail.com

LinkedIn
https://www.linkedin.com/in/foliveira18/


Disclaimer: views expressed in personal writing and projects are my own.