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Urban Heat Island Analysis with Automated Local Climate Zone Classification: A Toronto Case Study

Automated classification of Local Climate Zones (LCZs) using Random Forest trained on Sentinel-2 L2A imagery and GIS-derived Urban Canopy Parameters for intra-urban urban heat island analysis in Toronto, Ontario, Canada.

Classified LCZ Map

1. Local Climate Zones

The Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect is a phenomenon whereby air temperatures in urban environments are significantly heightened when compared to rural areas. Such an effect is largely due to the thermal properties of urban structures, which tend to absorb heat during the day and release it during the night. Traditional studies typically measured UHI using dichotomous urban / rural classification when comparing temperature trends. Such an approach fails to capture the diverse nature of urban areas, whereby building height, compactness and vegetation cover can vary substantially over space. Developed Stewart and Oke (2012), the Local Climate Zone (LCZ) classification scheme aims to characterise 17 zones based mainly on properties of surface structure (e.g., building and tree height & density) and surface cover (pervious vs. impervious). Each zone is local in scale, meaning it represents horizontal distances of 100s of metres to several kilometres. The scheme is a logical starting point for WUDAPT’s aim to gather consistent information across cities globally. To learn more about the Local Climate Zone framework, you can refer to the WUDAPT Webpage. A useful resource to better undetstand LCZ can be found in this illustration by Demuzere et al (2020).

2. A Toronto Case Study

This project explores the application of LCZs for understanding the UHI in the city of Toronto, Ontario. A study in 2021 found that Toronto experienced an annual average daytime UHI intensity of 4.3 C (Duan et al. 2024).

Primary Objectives:

  1. Train a Random Forest classifier on Sentinel-2 Imagery and GIS-derived Urban Canopy Parameters to predict LCZ classes for the city of Toronto
  2. Analyze the Urban Heat Island Effect in the Toronto using classified LCZs

3. Datasets

The table below outlines the various datasets employed for conducting LCZ classification in Toronto. Except for the Canadian buildings dataset, all datasets are available on a global scale and thus can be utilized for any city, as long as the appropriate building heights data is acquired.

Name Spatial Resolution Reference Date Source
Sentinel-L2A 10 / 20 m 2023 Google Earth Engine Catalog
ALOS DSM: Global (30m) v3.2 30 m 2006 Google Earth Engine Catalog
Automatically Extracted Buildings NA (Vector) 2023 Government of Canada
ETH Global Sentinel-2 (10m) Canopy Height 30 m 2020 Google Earth Engine Catalog
GISA-10m Impervious Surface Area 10 m 2016 Huang et al (2021)

Local Climate Zone Training Areas

A total of 317 training area polygons representing 12 LCZ classes were employed. The polygons were widely distributed around Toronto, enabling effective training of the Random Forest classifier.

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Sentinel-2 L2A Imagery

As per Vavassori et al. (2024), bands from B02 to B07, B8A, B11, and B12 were utilized from the harmonized Sentinel-2 L2A dataset. The plots below represent spectral signatures along with measures of spectral seperability amongst the labelled Local Climate Zones.

Spectral Signature of LCZ Classes

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Spectral Seperability Between Classes using Jeffries-Matuista Distance

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Urban Canopy Parameters

Following the steps outlined by Vavassori et al. (2024), Urban Canopy Parameters for Toronto were derived.

UCP Source Dataset
Building Height Government of Canada
Tree Canopy Height ETH Global Sentinel-2 (10m) Canopy Height
Sky View Factor ALOS DSM: Global (30m) v3.2
Impervious Surface Fraction GISA-10m Impervious Surface Area
Building Surface Fraction Government of Canada

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3. LCZ Classification with Random Forest

A Random Forest Classifier was trained on Sentinel-2 imagery and GIS-derived Urban Canopy Parameters to predict LCZ classes, data processing, data exploration and model assessment follows the methodology from Vavasorri et al. (2024). The trained model attained an overall testing accuracy of 87%, the classification report, confusion matrix and feature importances are given below.

Accuracy Metrics

Metric Result
Accuracy 0.87
Macro Avg 0.83
Weighted Avg 0.87

Classification Report

Class Precision Recall F1-score Support
Compact High-Rise 0.86 0.8 0.83 664
Open High-Rise 0.67 0.7 0.69 1166
Open Mid-Rise 0.73 0.44 0.55 471
Open Low-Rise 0.87 0.91 0.89 2741
Large low-rise 0.86 0.89 0.87 1596
Sparsely built 0.72 0.65 0.68 871
Dense trees 0.9 0.96 0.93 593
Scattered trees 0.88 0.92 0.90 451
Low plants 0.96 0.96 0.96 2424
Bare rock or paved 0.72 0.91 0.80 380
Bare soil or sand 0.95 0.91 0.93 553
Water 1.0 1.0 1.0 1570

Confusion Matrix

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Feature Importances

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4. Urban Heat Island Analysis

Thermal differences between urban and rural sites are most pronounced during the night, therefore this study analyzes nightime temperature data in the context of LCZs. MOD11A1.061 Terra Land Surface Temperature and Emissivity Daily Global Dataset provides nightime Land Surface Temperature (LST) at 1km spatial resolution, which is available via the LST_Night_1km band. Toronto's mean nighttime LST data was retrieved for July 2023 using the Google Earth Engine Python API.

By calculating temperature statistics of each classified LCZ, we can observe distinct thermal behaviours of highly localized urban and rural sites in the City of Toronto. On average, built-up LCZs exhibited higher nightime temperatures than non-built types by at least 1°C. Compact High-rise had the highest mean nighttime LST (21.4°C) amongst all LCZs, while Low Plants had the lowest (18.1°C). When compared to mean nighttime LST across the whole city (20.1°C), Compact High-rise was approximately 1.3°C higher and Low Plants was nearly 2°C lower.

LCZ Nightime Temperature Statistics (July 2023)

Local Climate Zone Mean Min Max Median Standard Deviaton Range
Compact High-Rise 21.4 16.0 24.0 21.4 0.8 7.9
Bare rock or paved 21.1 16.3 24.0 21.0 1.2 7.6
Large low-rise 21.0 15.3 24.0 21.1 1.3 8.6
Open High-Rise 21.0 15.3 24.0 21.2 1.5 8.6
Open Low-Rise 21.0 15.3 24.0 21.2 1.4 8.6
Open Mid-Rise 20.7 15.3 24.0 21.1 1.7 8.6
Scattered trees 19.7 15.3 23.6 20.0 2.0 8.3
Water 19.5 16.2 22.9 19.5 0.4 6.7
Sparsely built 19.5 15.3 23.6 19.7 2.1 8.3
Dense trees 19.0 15.3 23.6 18.9 2.1 8.3
Bare soil or sand 19.0 16.2 24.0 18.8 1.7 7.8
Low plants 18.1 15.3 24.0 17.1 1.9 8.6

Thermal Trends Amongt LCZs

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Pairwise Temperature Differences between LCZs

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References

Alberto Vavassori, Daniele Oxoli, Giovanna Venuti, Maria Antonia Brovelli, Mario Siciliani de Cumis, Patrizia Sacco, Deodato Tapete, A combined Remote Sensing and GIS-based method for Local Climate Zone mapping using PRISMA and Sentinel-2 imagery, International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, Volume 131, 2024, 103944, ISSN 1569-8432, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2024 103944.

Ching, J., Mills, G., Bechtel, B., See, L., Feddema, J., Wang, X., Ren, C., Brousse, O., Martilli, A., Neophytou, M., Mouzourides, P., Stewart, I., Hanna, A., Ng, E., Foley, M., Alexander, P., Aliaga, D., Niyogi, D., Shreevastava, A., Bhalachandran, P., Masson, V., Hidalgo, J., Fung, J., Andrade, M., Baklanov, A., Dai, W., Milcinski, G., Demuzere, M., Brunsell, N., Pesaresi, M., Miao, S., Mu, Q., Chen, F., Theeuwes, N., 2018. WUDAPT: An Urban Weather, Climate, and Environmental Modeling Infrastructure for the Anthropocene. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 99, 1907–1924. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0236.1

Demuzere M, Hankey S, Mills G, Zhang W, Lu T, Bechtel B. Combining expert and crowd-sourced training data to map urban form and functions for the continental US. Sci Data. 2020;7(1):264. doi:10.1038/s41597-020-00605-z.

Demuzere, M., Kittner, J., Bechtel, B. (2021). LCZ Generator: a web application to create Local Climate Zone maps. Frontiers in Environmental Science 9:637455. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2021.637455

Duan, Yuwei and Agrawal, Sandeep and Sanchez-Azofeifa, Arturo and Welegedara, Nilusha, Urban Heat Island Effect in Canada: Insights from Five Major Cities. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4965331 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4965331

Stewart ID, Oke TR. Local Climate Zones for Urban Temperature Studies. Bull Am Meteorol Soc. 2012;93(12):1879-1900. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00019.1

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Automated classification of Local Climate Zones (LCZs) using Random Forest trained on Sentinel-2 imagery and GIS-derived Urban Canopy Parameters for intra-urban urban heat island analysis in Toronto, Ontario, Canada.

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