All notable changes to this project will be documented in this file.
The format is based on Keep a Changelog, and this project adheres to Semantic Versioning.
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Model Architectures
- LSTM Baseline implementation
- MC Dropout LSTM for uncertainty quantification
- Bayesian Neural Network (Pyro-based)
- Transformer architecture for time series
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Data Pipeline
- Yahoo Finance data fetching (
scripts/fetch_data.py) - Technical indicators calculation (21 indicators)
- Data preprocessing and normalization
- Train/validation/test splitting
- Yahoo Finance data fetching (
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Training Infrastructure
- Modular training loop with early stopping
- Gradient clipping for RNN stability
- Model checkpointing
- Configuration-based experiments
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Evaluation & Analysis
- Comprehensive metrics (RMSE, MAE, R², MAPE)
- Backtesting system with strategy evaluation
- Uncertainty-aware position sizing
- Performance visualization
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Hyperparameter Optimization
- Optuna integration for HPO
- TPE algorithm for efficient search
- 5-parameter search space (hidden_size, num_layers, dropout, lr, batch_size)
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Documentation
- Comprehensive README.md
- PROJECT_ANALYSIS_REPORT.md (detailed technical analysis)
- QUICK_REFERENCE.md (at-a-glance guide)
- FIGURES_DOCUMENTATION.md (all visualizations documented)
- HPO_SEARCH_SPACE.md (hyperparameter details)
- TECHNICAL_INDICATORS_TABLE.md (all 21 indicators with formulas)
- CONTRIBUTING.md (contribution guidelines)
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Visualizations
- Figure 6: AAPL Price History (2015-2024)
- Figure 7: Feature Correlation Heatmap
- Figure 8: Training/Validation Loss Curves
- Figure 9: Uncertainty Bands (COVID-19 demonstration)
- Figure 10: Cumulative Returns Comparison
- Professional table images for reports
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Web Application
- Streamlit interactive dashboard
- Model prediction interface
- Visualization panels
- Configuration options
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Testing
- Unit tests for models (
test_models.py) - Unit tests for preprocessing (
test_preprocess.py) - Unit tests for metrics (
test_metrics.py) - Project launcher with test execution
- Unit tests for models (
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Utilities
- Figure generation scripts
- Table image generation
- Configuration management
- Results logging
- Organized code into professional structure
- Created
utils/for utility scripts - Established
reports/for documentation - Set up
configs/for YAML configurations - Implemented
src/modular architecture
configs/lstm_baseline.yamlconfigs/mc_dropout_lstm.yamlconfigs/bnn_vi.yamlconfigs/transformer_baseline.yamlconfigs/app.yaml
train.py- Main training scriptevaluate.py- Model evaluationbacktest.py- Strategy backtestinghparam_search.py- Hyperparameter optimizationrun_project.py- Project launcher (tests + app)utils/generate_figures.py- Documentation figuresutils/generate_hpo_table.py- HPO table imageutils/generate_indicators_table.py- Indicators table image
- Basic project structure
- Initial model implementations
- Data fetching capabilities
- Simple training scripts
- v1.0.0 (2025-10-14): Production-ready release with comprehensive documentation
- v0.1.0 (Development): Initial implementation phase