Simplify scenarios

CHANGELOG.md

@@ -1,4 +1,5 @@
 # Changelog
+- Simplified scenarion definition and made `Mix` the default scenario
 - 0.3: workflow is all public now, no longer requires credentials to internal data
 - Allowing myopic optimization until 2050
 - CHP plants located in onshore regions without district heating are represented as EOP plants

Snakefile

@@ -266,13 +266,13 @@ rule retrieve_egon_data:
 
 rule retrieve_ariadne_database:
     params:
-        db_name=config_provider("iiasa_database", "db_name"),
-        leitmodelle=config_provider("iiasa_database", "leitmodelle"),
-        scenarios=config_provider("iiasa_database", "scenarios"),
+        db_name=config["iiasa_database"]["db_name"],
+        leitmodelle=config["iiasa_database"]["leitmodelle"],
+        scenarios=config["iiasa_database"]["scenarios"],
     output:
-        data=resources("ariadne_database.csv"),
+        data="resources/ariadne_database.csv",
     log:
-        "logs/pypsa-de/retrieve_ariadne_database.log",
+        "logs/retrieve_ariadne_database.log",
     resources:
         mem_mb=1000,
     script:
@@ -315,7 +315,7 @@ rule build_mobility_demand:
         planning_horizons=config_provider("scenario", "planning_horizons"),
         leitmodelle=config_provider("iiasa_database", "leitmodelle"),
     input:
-        ariadne=resources("ariadne_database.csv"),
+        ariadne="resources/ariadne_database.csv",
         clustered_pop_layout=resources("pop_layout_base_s_{clusters}.csv"),
     output:
         mobility_demand=resources(
@@ -453,7 +453,7 @@ rule modify_existing_heating:
         iiasa_reference_scenario=config_provider("iiasa_database", "reference_scenario"),
         leitmodelle=config_provider("iiasa_database", "leitmodelle"),
     input:
-        ariadne=resources("ariadne_database.csv"),
+        ariadne="resources/ariadne_database.csv",
         existing_heating="data/existing_infrastructure/existing_heating_raw.csv",
     output:
         existing_heating=resources("existing_heating.csv"),
@@ -501,7 +501,7 @@ rule modify_industry_demand:
     params:
         reference_scenario=config_provider("iiasa_database", "reference_scenario"),
     input:
-        ariadne=resources("ariadne_database.csv"),
+        ariadne="resources/ariadne_database.csv",
         industrial_production_per_country_tomorrow=resources(
             "industrial_production_per_country_tomorrow_{planning_horizons}.csv"
         ),
@@ -570,7 +570,7 @@ rule download_ariadne_template:
             keep_local=True,
         ),
     output:
-        resources("template_ariadne_database.xlsx"),
+        "data/template_ariadne_database.xlsx",
     run:
         move(input[0], output[0])
 
@@ -589,7 +589,7 @@ rule export_ariadne_variables:
         NEP_year=config_provider("costs", "NEP"),
         NEP_transmission=config_provider("costs", "transmission"),
     input:
-        template=resources("template_ariadne_database.xlsx"),
+        template="data/template_ariadne_database.xlsx",
         industry_demands=expand(
             resources(
                 "industrial_energy_demand_base_s_{clusters}_{planning_horizons}.csv"
@@ -639,7 +639,7 @@ rule plot_ariadne_variables:
         reference_scenario=config_provider("iiasa_database", "reference_scenario"),
     input:
         exported_variables_full=RESULTS + "ariadne/exported_variables_full.xlsx",
-        ariadne_database=resources("ariadne_database.csv"),
+        ariadne_database="resources/ariadne_database.csv",
     output:
         primary_energy=RESULTS + "ariadne/primary_energy.png",
         primary_energy_detailed=RESULTS + "ariadne/primary_energy_detailed.png",
@@ -703,10 +703,10 @@ rule ariadne_all:
 
 rule build_scenarios:
     params:
-        scenarios=config_provider("run", "name"),
-        leitmodelle=config_provider("iiasa_database", "leitmodelle"),
+        scenarios=config["run"]["name"],
+        leitmodelle=config["iiasa_database"]["leitmodelle"],
     input:
-        ariadne_database=resources("ariadne_database.csv"),
+        ariadne_database="resources/ariadne_database.csv",
         scenario_yaml=config["run"]["scenarios"]["manual_file"],
     output:
         scenario_yaml=config["run"]["scenarios"]["file"],

config/config.de.yaml

@@ -4,7 +4,7 @@
 
 # docs in https://pypsa-eur.readthedocs.io/en/latest/configuration.html#run
 run:
-  prefix: 20250425_public_db
+  prefix: 20250507_simple_scenarios
   name:
   # - ExPol
   - KN2045_Mix
@@ -269,6 +269,9 @@ first_technology_occurrence:
 
 costs:
   horizon: "mean" # "optimist", "pessimist" or "mean"
+  NEP: 2023
+  transmission: "overhead" # either overhead line ("overhead") or underground cable ("underground")
+
 
 # docs in https://pypsa-eur.readthedocs.io/en/latest/configuration.html#sector
 sector:
@@ -342,6 +345,9 @@ sector:
 # docs in https://pypsa-eur.readthedocs.io/en/latest/configuration.html#industry
 industry:
   ammonia: false
+  steam_biomass_fraction: 0.4
+  steam_hydrogen_fraction: 0.3
+  steam_electricity_fraction: 0.3
   St_primary_fraction:
     2020: 0.6
     2025: 0.55
@@ -428,6 +434,16 @@ solving:
         H2 pipeline retrofitted: 0.05
       fractional_last_unit_size: true
   constraints:
+    # The default CO2 budget uses the KSG targets, and the non CO2 emissions from the REMIND model in the KN2045_Mix scenario
+    co2_budget_national:
+      DE:
+        2020: 0.671
+        2025: 0.523
+        2030: 0.346
+        2035: 0.216
+        2040: 0.09
+        2045: -0.05
+        2050: -0.048
     efuel_export_ban: false
     limits_capacity_max:
       Generator:
@@ -511,6 +527,10 @@ solving:
               # EEG2023; Ziel for 2024: 88 GW and for 2026: 128 GW,
               # assuming at least 1/3 of difference reached in 2025
             2025: 101
+        Link:
+          H2 Electrolysis:
+            DE:
+              2030: 5
   # For reference, this are the values specified in the laws
   # limits_capacity_min:
   #     Generator:

config/scenarios.manual.yaml

@@ -23,8 +23,6 @@ ExPol:
     2050: 0.419
 
   costs:
-    horizon: "mean"
-    NEP: 2023
     transmission: "underground" # either overhead line ("overhead") or underground cable ("underground")
   solving:
     constraints:
@@ -56,10 +54,6 @@ ExPol:
             DE:
               2030: 215 # uba Projektionsbericht
 
-  industry:
-    steam_biomass_fraction: 0.4
-    steam_hydrogen_fraction: 0.3
-    steam_electricity_fraction: 0.3
 
   sector:
     district_heating:
@@ -72,32 +66,13 @@ ExPol:
 
 
 KN2045_Mix:
+# Default scenario, defined in pypsa.de.yaml
 # Ausgewogener Mix an Technologien zur Dekarbonisierung der Sektoren
 # Breites Energieträgerportfolio in der Endenergie (Strom, Wasserstoff, synthetische Kraftstoffe)
 # Ausbau der erneuerbare Stromerzeugung erreicht politisch gesetzte Ziele
 # Importe erneuerbar erzeugter Energien auf mittlerem Niveau
 # dient als Referenzszenario in der Familie der Ariadne-Szenarien
 
-  iiasa_database:
-    reference_scenario: KN2045_Mix
-  co2_budget_DE_source: KSG
-
-  costs:
-    horizon: "mean"
-    NEP: 2023
-    transmission: "overhead" # either overhead line ("overhead") or underground cable ("underground")
-  solving:
-    constraints:
-      limits_capacity_min:
-        Link:
-          H2 Electrolysis:
-            DE:
-              2030: 5
-
-  industry:
-    steam_biomass_fraction: 0.4
-    steam_hydrogen_fraction: 0.3
-    steam_electricity_fraction: 0.3
 
 KN2045_Elek:
 # Fokus auf dem Hochlauf von Technologien zur direkten Elektrifizierung der Sektoren
@@ -107,12 +82,7 @@ KN2045_Elek:
 
   iiasa_database:
     reference_scenario: KN2045_Elek
-  co2_budget_DE_source: KSG
 
-  costs:
-    horizon: "mean"
-    NEP: 2023
-    transmission: "overhead" # either overhead line ("overhead") or underground cable ("underground")
   solving:
     constraints:
       limits_volume_max:
@@ -153,11 +123,6 @@ KN2045_Elek:
             2040: 170
             2045: 250
             2050: 250
-      limits_capacity_min:
-        Link:
-          H2 Electrolysis:
-            DE:
-              2030: 5
 
   industry:
     steam_biomass_fraction: 0.4
@@ -172,12 +137,7 @@ KN2045_H2:
 
   iiasa_database:
     reference_scenario: KN2045_H2
-  co2_budget_DE_source: KSG
 
-  costs:
-    horizon: "mean"
-    NEP: 2023
-    transmission: "overhead" # either overhead line ("overhead") or underground cable ("underground")
   solving:
     constraints:
       limits_volume_max:
@@ -231,11 +191,6 @@ KN2045_H2:
             2040: 0
             2045: 200
             2050: 200
-      limits_capacity_min:
-        Link:
-          H2 Electrolysis:
-            DE:
-              2030: 5
 
   industry:
     steam_biomass_fraction: 0.4
@@ -250,35 +205,7 @@ KN2045_NFniedrig:
 # dient als Referenzszenario in der Familie der Ariadne-Szenarien
 
   iiasa_database:
-    reference_scenario: KN2045plus_LowDemand
-  co2_budget_DE_source: KSG
-
-  costs:
-    horizon: "mean"
-    NEP: 2023
-    transmission: "overhead" # either overhead line ("overhead") or underground cable ("underground")
-  solving:
-    constraints:
-      # boundary condition of maximum volumes
-      limits_volume_max:
-        h2_import:
-          DE:
-            2020: 0
-            2025: 5
-            2030: 15
-            2035: 115
-            2040: 220
-            2045: 325
-            2050: 325
-      limits_capacity_min:
-        Link:
-          H2 Electrolysis:
-            DE:
-              2030: 5
-  industry:
-    steam_biomass_fraction: 0.4
-    steam_hydrogen_fraction: 0.3
-    steam_electricity_fraction: 0.3
+    reference_scenario: KN2045_NFniedrig
 
   sector:
     reduce_space_heat_exogenously_factor:
@@ -298,35 +225,7 @@ KN2045_NFhoch:
 # dient als Referenzszenario in der Familie der Ariadne-Szenarien
 
   iiasa_database:
-    reference_scenario: KN2045minus_SupplyFocus
-  co2_budget_DE_source: KSG
-
-  costs:
-    horizon: "mean"
-    NEP: 2023
-    transmission: "overhead" # either overhead line ("overhead") or underground cable ("underground")
-  solving:
-    constraints:
-      # boundary condition of maximum volumes
-      limits_volume_max:
-        h2_import:
-          DE:
-            2020: 0
-            2025: 5
-            2030: 15
-            2035: 115
-            2040: 220
-            2045: 325
-            2050: 325
-      limits_capacity_min:
-        Link:
-          H2 Electrolysis:
-            DE:
-              2030: 5
-  industry:
-    steam_biomass_fraction: 0.4
-    steam_hydrogen_fraction: 0.3
-    steam_electricity_fraction: 0.3
+    reference_scenario: KN2045_NFhoch
 
   sector:
     reduce_space_heat_exogenously_factor: